Scott Bogman Mock Draft Accuracy: Every Pick, Graded | MissedTakes

Scott Bogman

Writes at The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)

Every take from Scott Bogman, including the ones still waiting →

Is Scott Bogman accurate? Across 43 graded calls in 6 articles, Scott Bogman scores 71.12% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 49.96, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

71.12%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

49.96

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 6 articles. 24 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

earliest callscareer avg 65 ┄latest form: 76

Graded calls · 43

5 of 6 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 2.

Bogman laid out fades on Malik Nabers (knee), Kenneth Walker, Bhayshul Tuten, Christian Watson, Jackson Dart and Sam LaPorta, while liking Isaiah Likely and staying more positive on DJ Moore; he also gave his top-seven tight end board and expected Tuten to lead Jacksonville's backfield.May 30, 2026
- A.J. Brown to move
  “AJ Brown's getting traded to where right.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  200
  player:
  A.J. Brown
  season:
  2026
  claimed:
  he leaves
  was with:
  PHI
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  reported:
  traded → NE (from PHI)
  settled by:

Bogman made 11 first-round mock selections, including David Bailey to the Jets at No. 2, Jeremiah Love to the Giants at 5, and a Jets trade up to 32 for Ty Simpson.11 graded calls · Apr 19, 2026

David Bailey to be picked at number 2
“But Texas Tech defensive end David Bailey... I'm taking David Bailey here.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.45 against a shuffle’s 50+35.45 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.45
player:
David Bailey
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.45
Think this grade is wrong?
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14
“Now I'm big, Iwanye Ione... Megge Yonkay? Look, they need a guard, they need offensive line help.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.71
player:
Iwanye Ione
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
14
weeks left when called:
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 5
“let's get Jeremiah Love... Jeremiah Love, to me, is the best player on the board here. And he falls to five because of the position”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.71
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8
“So I give the Saints Manster Delane to give them a nice outside presence across from kool Aid”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.71
player:
Mansoor Delane
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.71
Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 20
“I'm gonna give him a Key Messador, the ed thrusher”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.45 against a shuffle’s 50+35.45 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.45
player:
Akheem Mesidor
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
22
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.45
Caleb Banks to be picked at number 29
“go to the defensive line and give the Caleb Banks, the big space clogging nose tackle out of Florida”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.71
player:
Caleb Banks
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
18
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
29
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.71
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17
“I like Monroe feeling here for the Lions”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.71
player:
Monroe Freeling
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.71
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 23
“Spencer Fano's still here... take the tackle to replace the tackle a year before you need him... that's what I would take him to replace Lane Johnson in the long term.”
Close · 55Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.71
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
54.53
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
54.53
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
T.J. Parker to be picked at number 26
“but I do think that TJ. Parker is a value at this spot... I think this would be a nice win fall at twenty six for the Bills.”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.71
player:
T.J. Parker
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
35
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
26
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32
“How about Ty Simpson, the quarterback out of Alabama... to move one spot here I think would be an easy trade for the Jets to do.”
Close · 44Scored 43.91 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.71
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
43.91
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
43.91
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 11
“I'm going to give them Jordan Tyson here. You're right, you just take a wide receiver.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.71
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.71

Bogman's mock picks: Arvel Reese to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauigoa to Cleveland at 6, Keldric Faulk to Kansas City at 9, Sonny Styles to Dallas at 12, Cashius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kayden McDonald to San Francisco at 27 and Anthony Hill to Denver at 30.10 graded calls · Feb 20, 2026

Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12
“Easiest picking the draft from me, Sonny styles and linebackers out of Ohio State”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.64 against a shuffle’s 50+33.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
33.64
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
83.64
Think this grade is wrong?
Cashius Howell to be picked at number 15
“I'm gonna give him cash Us how the edge rusher out of Texas A and M.”
Miss · 32Scored 32.42 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Cashius Howell
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
32.42
baseline:
50
actual pick:
41
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
32.42
predicted pick:
15
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 24
“I went with Casey Kcepsi on the wide receiver from Texas A and M. I think he's the most obvious fit here for the Browns.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.67 against a shuffle’s 50+31.67 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.67
player:
K.C. Concepcion
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
24
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Anthony Hill to be picked at number 30
“Denver Anthony Hill linebacker Texas. Let's go.”
Miss · 27Scored 27.26 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Anthony Hill
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
27.26
baseline:
50
actual pick:
60
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
27.26
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 9
“I'm going to give him Keldrick Falk the edge out of Auburn.”
Miss · 39Scored 38.56 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Keldric Faulk
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
38.56
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
38.56
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 21
“It's Makai Lemon for me, the wide receiver out of USC”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 18
“So Avion Terrell, the cornerback out of Clemson going to the Vikings.”
Miss · 27Scored 27.26 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Avieon Terrell
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
27.26
baseline:
50
actual pick:
48
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
27.26
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3
“I'll take the risk for the Cardinals and take rvel risk. Rvel recent number three”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Kayden McDonald to be picked at number 27
“this is Kaden McDonald, the interior defensive alignement from Ohio State”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Kayden McDonald
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
36
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
27
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6
“we're gonna go with Francis Moultnoah, the offensive tackle out of Miami”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9

He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks.12 graded calls · Feb 8, 2026

Kayden McDonald to be picked at number 19
“but I went with Kate McDonald, the interior defensive lineman from Ohio State... So Kate McDonald, It is”
Close · 48Scored 47.88 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Kayden McDonald
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
47.88
baseline:
50
actual pick:
36
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
47.88
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Think this grade is wrong?
Romello Height to be picked at number 31
“Yeah, Ramelo Height the edge from Texas Tech... but I think Ramelo Hike can come in here.”
Miss · 18Scored 18.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Romello Height
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
18.46
baseline:
50
actual pick:
70
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
18.46
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 16
“Let's give them Denzel Boston, the wide receiver out of Washington here... So I like Denzel Boston, a size guy going to the Jets as a pass catcher.”
Miss · 37Scored 36.92 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Denzel Boston
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
36.92
baseline:
50
actual pick:
39
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
36.92
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 7
“I ended up taking the linebackers Sony Styles from Ohio State... I think Styles is probably the best fit for Washington on the board here.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Peter Woods to be picked at number 25
“but I went with Peter Woods, the interior defensive lineman from Clemson”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Peter Woods
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
29
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
25
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Caleb Downs to be picked “top ten” (picks 1–10)
“He's a great pick wherever he goes, and he has to go in the top ten”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top ten (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
David Bailey to be picked at number 4
“I'm going to get the Titans David Bailey the edge out of Texas Tech... So I think the Titans take him here at pick number four.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
David Bailey
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 22
“Vega Ione, the interior offensive from Penn State, it's what they need.”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Olaivavega Ioane
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked at number 28
“It's a Magno pregnant in the interior offensive lineman from Oregon, and like I said, I didn't consider anybody else.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Magno Pregnant
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
28
weeks left when called:
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 13
“So let's give them Carnell take the wide receiver out of Ohio State.”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
David Bailey to be picked “top ten” (picks 1–10)
“this is an amazing player and he is going to be in the top ten for sure, no doubt”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
David Bailey
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top ten (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
“Yeah, I got him taking Caleb Downs... So we just snuck him in here at pick number ten.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75

Bogman delivered five escalating hot takes: Cam Skattebo leads the Giants in touches as a rookie, Trey McBride leads all tight ends in touchdowns, Ricky Pearsall leads the 49ers in receiving yards, Matthew Golden finishes as a low-end fantasy WR2 (around WR24), and Anthony Richardson finishes as the QB6 in fantasy.5 graded calls · Aug 2, 2025

Anthony Richardson to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
“Anthony Richardson finishes QB six. We don't even know if he's gonna start right now.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Anthony Richardson
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
25
actual finish:
70
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
Matthew Golden to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points
“Matthew Golden... finishes as a low end wide receiver two in fantasy... That's a wide receiver low end wide receiver twenty four here.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Matthew Golden
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
position:
WR
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
no prior season — the startable tier at WR
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
36
actual finish:
91
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
Ricky Pearsall to be 1st on the depth chart
“Ricky Piersaw leads the forty nine ers in receiving yards.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 100-33.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
SF
skill:
-33.33
player:
Ricky Pearsall
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
100
position:
WR
naive slot:
3
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Trey McBride to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving tds
“Trey McBride leads tight ends in touchdowns this season. In twenty twenty five”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 0+183.33 skill
How this was scored
skill:
183.33
player:
Trey McBride
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
0
position:
TE
ranked by:
receiving tds
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
33
actual finish:
2
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Cam Skattebo to be 1st on the depth chart
“My first hot take is that Cam Scataboo leads the New York Giants in touches this season... I think he's already the better lead back.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
-16.67
player:
Cam Skattebo
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called: