Colin Cowherd
A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
95.98% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
What they call, and how it goes
The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.
- Score Predictions20 graded53.61 accuracy
- Playoff Picks18 graded29.17 accuracy
- Mock Draft Picks17 graded43.69 accuracy
- Game Outcome Picks13 graded72.92 accuracy
- Season Win Totals7 graded52.5 accuracy
- Position Group Rankings5 graded60 accuracy
Form
Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.
Graded calls · 93
“I think Harbaugh's going to crush it with the Giants. They're going to be a playoff team next year.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYG
- skill:
- -100
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“Seems like to me, hoisting a trophy in about ten twelve days. Have to reconsider where we put him.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“They'll get Fernando Mendoza with a number one pick.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
“They'll get Fernando Mendoza with a number one pick.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 80.52+19.48 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LV
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- they picked 6 the year before
- skill:
- 19.48
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 80.52
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“in the last twelve hours, I'm like Big Jacksonville, Big Chicago”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 6-35
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“I think they can beat Houston. I honestly do.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 30-6
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“I think we'll see highly effective eleven and six can win the division.”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 55-15 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- naive:
- 10.25
- skill:
- -15
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 55
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“I think I would take New England in a very low scoring game.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 3-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“IF i had to pick a team to win The Super bowl, today it would Be Seattle”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“I think I would take Jacksonville by a touchdown, what say you?”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 27-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“Who you got in this one? ... Probably the Giants.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NYG
- score:
- 34-10
- skill:
- 111
- they picked:
- NYG
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
“And the Chargers aren't losing against the Titan”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAC
- score:
- 27-20
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- TEN
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
“I the Raiders beating the Jaguars in Vegas?”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 30-29
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LV
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
“But I think Chicago could win outright and six and a half points. I just think the Ravens have not earned the right to be a touchdown favorite. So I'll take Chicago plus the six and a half.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BAL
- score:
- 16-30
- skill:
- -161
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
“I do know that the Miami defense can't deal with Bijon all lay the seven and a half with Atlanta.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIA
- score:
- 34-10
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- ATL
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
“I think green Bay's better than Pittsburgh... And I just think green Bay is due for a statement game. Green Bay minus three.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 35-25
- skill:
- 161
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
“I think Travis scores... Travis Kelcey plus one twenty anytime touchdown.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 21.33-34.35 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 3.03
- skill:
- -34.35
- what happened:
- 5
- player:
- Travis Kelce
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 21.33
- predicted:
- 1
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- last season:
- 3
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- position average:
- 3.07
- zero at percent out:
- 50
“Bucks Lions win it. Lions cover twenty eight to twenty one.”
Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 69.11+19.77 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 9-24
- skill:
- 19.77
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 80.95
- baseline:
- 69.11
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 7
“if San Francisco can bring it back a couple of weapons, I like San Francisco.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 10-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
“I trust Cleveland's defense to carry the day, maybe get a turnover in points twenty four to seventeen. Browns win and cover.”
Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 50+11.93 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 6-31
- skill:
- 11.93
- they picked:
- CLE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 57.14
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 25
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 7
“I'm gonna take Denver to win twenty eight to twenty. Cover the spread.”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 97.55-23.75 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 32-33
- skill:
- -23.75
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 97.55
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 8
“I'm going to take green Bay to win close. Seven points is too many. Twenty eight to twenty four.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 45.3+91.34 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-23
- skill:
- 91.34
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 45.3
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 4
“I would vote him today... he would be MVP and then Mahomes would be runner up.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Baker Mayfield
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
“Seattle wins outright in a bad mood. Cross Country thirty twenty seven. Hawks rebound from that loss last week.”
Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 35.78+89.98 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-12
- skill:
- 89.98
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 88.1
- baseline:
- 35.78
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 3
“I'm not touching this game... Rams will win, but I'm not touching with him.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 17-3
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
“My favorite bet of the week is the Commander's minus four and a half... The Commanders win thirty three twenty six.”
Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 47.55-20.36 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 25-24
- skill:
- -20.36
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 35.71
- baseline:
- 47.55
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 7
“Chargers probably win this game twenty four to twenty three. I'm absolutely taking the points with the Dolphins.”
Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 49.93+82.02 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 29-27
- skill:
- 82.02
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 97.62
- baseline:
- 49.93
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 1
“I like the Raiders minus three and a half... Twenty six seventeen”
Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 81.02+28.55 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 10-20
- skill:
- 28.55
- they picked:
- LV
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 97.62
- baseline:
- 81.02
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 9
“Patriots win, but take the under. Let's say at twenty one to twenty ugly choppie game.”
Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 40.54+81.79 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 25-19
- skill:
- 81.79
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 88.1
- baseline:
- 40.54
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 1
“I think the Jets at home healthier win twenty eight, twenty seven, take the points.”
Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 19.11-4.36 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 37-22
- skill:
- -4.36
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 16.67
- baseline:
- 19.11
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 1
“I'm gonna take Denver to win close, low scoring game twenty four to twenty three.”
Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 45.3+84.64 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 21-17
- skill:
- 84.64
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 45.3
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 1
“I like the Colts at home to win and cover... twenty eight to twenty Colts win it won't feel this close.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 6-40
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 34
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 8
“I think we have a blowout on the horizon. Cardinals win at thirty one to thirteen.”
Scored 9.52a naive guess scored 47.55-67.69 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 22-21
- skill:
- -67.69
- they picked:
- ARI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 9.52
- baseline:
- 47.55
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 18
“But I think Minnesota twenty seven to twenty covers here, better staff, better offense, better defense. I a better road team. I'm gonna take Minnesota.”
Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 97.69-104.69 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 21-24
- skill:
- -104.69
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 40.48
- baseline:
- 97.69
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 7
“I'm gonna take the Raiders to win it. Twenty seven to twenty three.”
Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 47.55-8.59 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 25-24
- skill:
- -8.59
- they picked:
- LV
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 42.86
- baseline:
- 47.55
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 4
“Bo Nicks, by the way, not great in September last year, finally Clicks thirty twenty. They cover the spread. Take the Denver Broncos”
Scored 64.29a naive guess scored 50+26.14 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 3-28
- skill:
- 26.14
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 64.29
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 25
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 10
“I like the Falcons, but I like them Milani.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- ATL
- score:
- 27-34
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- ATL
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
“I think we get points in this game. Twenty six twenty three New England wins take the over.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 13-42
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 29
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 3
“They beat the Colts thirty four to twenty four.”
Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 88.16+8.59 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-27
- skill:
- 8.59
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 88.16
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 10
“Take the Chiefs out, They'll make the playoffs. They're going to be fine.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 16
“So I think they're gonna be very good. I think they'll make the playoffs, but I think the division, Jay...”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I like the Jets here to win straight out twenty four to twenty”
Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 49.93-9.39 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 34-32
- skill:
- -9.39
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 45.24
- baseline:
- 49.93
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 4
“Patriots Bengals, Chiefs are playoff teams. Patriots Bengals new playoff teams”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- WAS
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“we go to the AFC North. It's going to stay the same. Bengals... Ravens are the best operation... Steelers have not been impressive... Cleveland ... probably finished fourth”
Scored 70a naive guess scored 90-40 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -40
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 70
- baseline:
- 90
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Do not worry about Jordan Love's non throwing hand. He will start Week one”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jordan Love
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“The East remains the same. Eagles, Commanders, Giants, Cowboys.”
Scored 70a naive guess scored 90-40 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -40
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 70
- baseline:
- 90
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Patriots Bengals, Chiefs are playoff teams.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“the easiest pick in the NFL this year for a team that didn't make the playoffs last year and will this year is Cincinnati”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CIN
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAR
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“AFC East Bills are going to win it. Patriots are my most improved team... Dolphins coming out now... The Jets, I just structurally I have no idea their fourth”
Scored 90a naive guess scored 40+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 90
- baseline:
- 40
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“If I moved Cincinnati out because I've predicted they'll make the playoffs, I would put the Broncos in.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DEN
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“if I had made these two changes, I do only have two new playoff teams New England and ... Seattle in the NFC”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“C J. Stroud made the playoffs. My guess is c J. Stroud will make the playoffs again this year.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- HOU
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“NFC East Eagles, Commanders, Commanders Class of the NFC East ... Giants, Cowboys”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PHI
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I do only have two new playoff teams New England and the AFC and Seattle in the NFC”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SEA
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I'd probably move the Bears out and the Packers in again, noise out like the Bengals, reliable Sean Payton, Green Bay Packers in”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I don't think they're going to be a six win team, but I think eight is probably the number. Mike Tomlin finally losing record.”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 85-50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- -50
- what happened:
- 10
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I think they're an eleven twelve win team.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAC
- naive:
- 9.75
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Again, I was gonna say three to fourteen is not off the radar.”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 65+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYG
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 4
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 65
- predicted:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I think Kansas City is a wild card team.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Let's say he doesn't win a ring. I think he will and I think he'll win a couple”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“my take is, I didn't love the draft of Jackson Dart because Russell's gonna start”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NYG
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Russell Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I'm all in on the Lions winning it and the Bears going to a wildcard spot.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CHI
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Minnesota could win eight games with JJ and be a really good team to help it.”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 55+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- MIN
- naive:
- 11.25
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 55
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Number one is Tennessee. You gotta get cam Warden. It's an easy one.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- cam Warden
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“number two, Cleveland. I think they go and get Travis Hunter, the best overall athlete in the draft”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Travis Hunter
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“Number fourteen the Colts... Armand Memboo from Missouri who tore it up offensive lineman.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Armand Memboo
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“Jaguars get Mason Graham... I think he goes number five.”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Mason Graham
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“I think he'll win games. I think he'll make him a playoff team.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TEN
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Number twelve Cowboys Amarion Hampton, running back North Carolina.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Amarion Hampton
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“And at fifteenth Atlanta Shamar Stewart edge rusher, Texas and m”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Shamar Stewart
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“Number ten Bears, go get Edge Jaylon Walker... I like Walker to the Bears at ten”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Jaylon Walker
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“Panthers get T Mac wide receiver Arizona... Panthers at eight. Take him.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- T Mac
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“I think the Patriots are gonna get Abdul Carter. The edge.”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Abdul Carter
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“Number nine Saints Will Johnson.”
Scored 19.28 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Will Johnson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 19.28
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 47
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 19.28
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“The Jets get Tyler Warren at number seven the tight end.”
Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Tyler Warren
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“Number thirteen Dolphins, I'd go Will Campbell LSU.”
Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Will Campbell
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“I think the Raiders go get Ashton Gent, the running back... Ashton Jenny playmaker at six.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Ashton Gent
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“Number three may surprise you. I do now think the Giants are gonna take Shador Sanders.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Shador Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“number eleven, nine ers, I would go Calvin Banks.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Calvin Banks
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
“I've said Kyle McCord at Syracuse. I take him in the second round and feel pretty good... Then I watched them at Syracuse and I'm like, shit, that's a second round pick.”
Scored 0.63a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Kyle McCord
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.63
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 181
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.63
- predicted pick:
- second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
“So New England was one of my overs... This is an eight to nine win team. And again the Jets are a bit lost... So I think New England's in play.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 14
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“So I look at the over under on Tennessee and you know it's five and a half. Some have had it at six and a half. I think they clear that bar easily... and so I Titans to me earn over.”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 45-50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TEN
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- -50
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I like Kansas City thirty, Philadelphia twenty seven, Super Bowl fifty nine”
Scored 14.29a naive guess scored 62.56-48.28 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 22-40
- skill:
- -48.28
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 14.29
- baseline:
- 62.56
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.28
- predicted margin:
- 3
“So here is my pick for the Philadelphia Kansas City Super Bowl. Chiefs are minus one and a half. I like Kansas City and here's why.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- champion:
- PHI
- runner up:
- KC
- naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“which quarterback you love the most passing yards in the second half... I'm gonna take Patrick Mahomes.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 91.67-41.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -41.67
- player:
- Patrick Mahomes
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 6
- actual finish:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- predicted finish:
- 1
“We'll do the defensive front seven Chiefs or Eagles... I like Kansas City?”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- HOU
- unit:
- defensive_line
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“tight end Colin. Who you got the Chiefs with featuring Kelsey and Gray or the Eagles feature Goddart... I'll go Travis Kelsey”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- SF
- unit:
- tight_end
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“running backs. Colin Chiefs are Eagles, the Chiefs by Committee or the near MVP SA quad mark easy one. Philadelphia”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- BAL
- unit:
- running_back
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“Offensive line Chiefs are Eagles... You got I think Philadelphia.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- BUF
- unit:
- offensive_line
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“wide receiver. Which group has the advantage The Chiefs with d hop Worthy in Hollywood Brown or the Eagles with AJ Brown DeVonta Smith... Philadelphia”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- DET
- unit:
- wide_receiver
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0