Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Craig Stout · Mar 26, 2026

Craig says Arvell Reese is a top-five pick in this draft class but will not be a Micah Parsons-level player, and he views both Mekhi Lemmon and Carnell Tate as top-10 selections.

Arvel Reese is a very good player. He is a top five pick in this draft.

said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Arvell Reese to be picked “a top five pick in this draft” (picks 1–5)

    Arvel Reese is a very good player. He is a top five pick in this draft.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Arvel Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    a top five pick in this draft (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Makai Lemon to be picked “projected top 10 picks” (picks 1–10)

    Both are, you know, projected top 10 picks here... whereas McKay Lemmon's more of your shiftier slot type guy... two guys within the top 10 here

    Close · 65Scored 64.84a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    projected top 10 picks (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Colonel Tate to be picked “projected top 10 picks” (picks 1–10)

    Both are, you know, projected top 10 picks here. But Colonel Tate is a different style of wide receiver... two guys within the top 10 here

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Colonel Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    projected top 10 picks (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.

Craig Stout on KC Laboratory 3/25: Deciding the Best… | MissedTakes