Matt Ioannidis· Sep 3, 2025
Speaker 7 (identified in the show as "Manti") picked Jalen Carter to have a dominant "banner night" in the Eagles-Cowboys opener, picked the Baltimore Ravens as the visiting team to make noise in Week 1, and named Lamar Jackson as his 2025 NFL MVP.
“Let's go soon to be three times IVP. Jackson”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
2 checkable claims — 1 award pick and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Award PicksLamar JacksonBaltimore RavensSep 3, 2025
Lamar Jackson to win NFL MVP
“Let's go soon to be three times IVP. Jackson ... in twenty twenty five ... he is the year of the Goat”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Lamar Jackson
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensSep 3, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to beat Buffalo Bills
“when the Baltimore Ravens go over there in Buffalo, New York, they're going to be ready, they're going to be locked in, and they're going to be angry. So the team that I'm looking forward to in Week one to go up in enemy territory are the Baltimore Ravens.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 40-41
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
What others said about the same people
- Nick ShookGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensMiss · 0Shook said he would take the Steelers and Jaguars to win outright on the road, still expects the Chargers to beat the Raiders, and thinks Baltimore's run game will turn the Saints game into a double-digit Ravens win.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensMiss · 36Prisco picks final scores for every Week 2 NFL game, with several teams that lost in Week 1 — the Chargers, Patriots, Cowboys, Packers and Rams — bouncing back, and the Bills outlasting the Lions in a shootout.
- John HendricksScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensClose · 48John Hendricks picked Baltimore to win 23-17, predicted Derrick Henry would score two touchdowns, called for Devon Vale's first career 100-yard receiving game, and bought Chris Olave topping 1,300 receiving yards.
- Darrion GrayScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensClose · 48Darion Gray picked the Ravens to beat the Saints 28-20 and predicted Chris Olave would post a second straight 100-yard receiving game.
- Lance MooreScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensClose · 43Lance Moore predicted the Saints would again score around 30 points but lose a high-scoring game in Baltimore, 35-31. He also bought Chris Olave going over 1,300 receiving yards in 2026, said Zay Flowers would play until officially ruled out, and suggested the Titans would be a roughly two-win team.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensClose · 50Dubin gives winners and scores for the same seven games, favoring the Bills, Patriots, Ravens, Texans, Broncos, Chiefs and Rams, though he expects several of them to stay close.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Eric MoodyGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.