Brendon Nelson· Aug 16, 2026
After a poor Seahawks preseason opener, Nelson argues several of the players who struggled — offensive linemen Bobby Hart and Logan Brown, and cornerback Shemar Jean-Charles — are unlikely to be on the final roster, and says the team currently lacks a viable fifth edge rusher and may need to look outside the roster.
“The problem spots were mostly players that won’t make the team, like Bobby Hart and Logan Brown.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
3 checkable claims — 3 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Roster Spot CallsBobby HartSeattle SeahawksAug 16, 2026
Bobby Hart to make the roster
“The problem spots were mostly players that won’t make the team, like Bobby Hart and Logan Brown.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- SEA
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- ec8b0630-48b8-4544-8485-c2bea0cf0af7
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he does not make the 53
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Shemar Jean-Charles to make the roster
“I also wasn’t impressed by the cornerback play, as Shemar Jean-Charles was beaten repeatedly, but he’s another longshot for the 53.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Roster Spot CallsLogan BrownSeattle SeahawksAug 16, 2026
Logan Brown to make the roster
“The problem spots were mostly players that won’t make the team, like Bobby Hart and Logan Brown.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Drew LockMiss · 0In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona.
- Michael HanichDepth Chart Calls · Bud ClarkMiss · 0Hanich suggests Nick Emmanwori may miss Week 1 after ankle surgery, and that Noah Igbinoghene is making a strong case to be the Seahawks' Week 1 starting nickel, with Bud Clark also possibly stepping into a starting role if Emmanwori is out.
- Richard ShermanScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 81Sherman picked Seattle to beat New England 28-17 in the opener, ran through score picks for the rest of the week one slate (49ers, Cowboys, Bills, Bears, Vikings, Colts, Broncos), said the Seahawks would also beat the Cardinals, Commanders and Chargers, backed Dallas to win its division, and predicted Christian Gonzalez's deal would come in barely above Devon Witherspoon's.
- Anthony “Tone Diggs” DiGuilioGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Tone picked the Seahawks to beat the Patriots in the Thursday-night season opener, citing Seattle's returning front seven and offensive line snaps.
- Ty SchmitGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Ty Schmidt also leaned Seahawks over Patriots in the opener, pointing to Seattle returning 20 of 22 Super Bowl starters and a raucous banner night.
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100AJ Hawk picked the Seahawks to win the opener at home over the Patriots.
More roster spot calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- John ShipleyRoster Spot Calls · Jack KiserMiss · 0Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there.
- Cody RourkeRoster Spot Calls · Mitchell FraboniMiss · 0Rourke names the Ravens as the bounce-back team most likely to be dangerous in the AFC again, and says Houston's defense alone should carry the Texans into the postseason. He also expects long snapper Mitchell Fraboni to be one of Denver's practice-squad elevations for the Chiefs game, and slots Pat Bryant as Denver's third receiver behind Courtland Sutton and Jaylen Waddle.
- Sayre BedingerRoster Spot Calls · Adam PrenticeMiss · 0Benninger expects Houston's elite defense to make them either a division winner or a wild card team, thinks Marvin Mims was trending toward being Denver's fourth receiver rather than just the return man, and figures Adam Prentice will be the Broncos' other practice-squad call-up.
- Bob MorrisRoster Spot Calls · Adam PrenticeHit · 100Morris predicts Jarrett Stidham holds the backup QB job behind Bo Nix, Adam Prentice makes the 53-man roster as the fullback/fourth back, and Lucas Krull gets cut.
- Erick TrickelRoster Spot Calls · Adam PrenticeHit · 100After the Broncos' preseason opener, Trickel argued fullback Adam Prentice has shown enough value to earn a spot on the 53-man roster ahead of the team's fourth running back options (Jaleel McLaughlin, Tyler Badie, Cody Schrader).
- Nick ShookRoster Spot Calls · Aaron DonaldHit · 100Shook unveiled his first NFL power rankings of the year, putting the Rams first, the Broncos second and the defending champion Seahawks only third, with the Dolphins last.