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Lance Zierlein· Feb 28, 2025

Zierlein raised his draft evaluations after Thursday's workouts: Oklahoma linebacker Danny Stutsman moved into his top 100, South Carolina's Demetrius Knight could be the first inside linebacker drafted, and Caine Medrano went from undrafted to draftable on his board.

I thought he was like a third fourth. I think he's in the top one hundred now.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

3 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 25.4 out of 100, against 36 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
1They said
3What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Demetrius Knight Jr. to be 1st inside linebacker off the board

    Demetrius Knight from South Carolina stood out to me... Might even be you know, could be linebacker one as an inside linebacker.

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 21.98+28.02 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 21 at random averages 21.98
    skill:
    28.02
    player:
    Demetrius Knight Jr.
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    21.98
    position:
    inside linebacker
    class size:
    21
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    3
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Danny Stutsman to be picked “top one hundred” (picks 1–1)

    and he did like he made himself money, he helped himself. I thought he was like a third fourth. I think he's in the top one hundred now. Is a linebacker.

    Miss · 1Scored 0.82a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Danny Stutsman
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.82
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    112
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.82
    predicted pick:
    top one hundred (picks 1–1)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kain Medrano to be picked “drafted”

    So I went from undrafted on him to drafted like love that yesterday

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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