Chris Rose· Mar 6, 2025
Hosting a mock free-agency draft, Rose predicted destinations for Nick Bolton, Carlton Davis, Russell Wilson, Malcolm Koonce, Stefon Diggs, Byron Murphy, Chase Young and Jacoby Brissett, plus Justin Fields returning to Pittsburgh, Ronnie Stanley leaving Baltimore, and the Browns trading up to No. 1 to take Cam Ward.
“I do believe that the Browns are going to trade up to one and take cam Ward.”
said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
14 checkable claims — 12 trade and signing calls, 1 mock draft pick and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 22 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
13 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 14.2 out of 100, against 50.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
- Russell Wilson
- Las Vegas Raiders
- Byron Murphy
- New England Patriots
- Darius Slayton
- Carlton Davis III
- New York Jets
- D.J. Reed
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Stefon Diggs
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Jacoby Brissett
- Cleveland Browns
- Ronnie Stanley
- Malcolm Koonce
- Atlanta Falcons
- Chase Young
- Detroit Lions
- Nick Bolton
- Los Angeles Rams
- Cam Ward
- Justin Fields
14 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Russell Wilson to move to Las Vegas Raiders
“even if he goes out and gives a little bit of money to Russell Wilson to rejoin forces with Pete Carroll, so be it ... when he ends up in Las Vegas, I will gladly take those twenty points.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Russell Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LV
- was with:
- PIT
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NYG
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Byron Murphy to move to New England Patriots
“All I'm saying is that Byron Murphy will be a New England Patriot”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Byron Murphy
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NE
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- MIN
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Darius Slayton to move to New England Patriots
“I had him going to New England. There was not much better than their offensive line room.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Darius Slayton
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NE
- was with:
- NYG
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NYG
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Carlton Davis III to move to New York Jets
“I think that Carlton Davis is going to the Jets ... I've got Carlton Davis going to the NYJ.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Carlton Davis III
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYJ
- was with:
- DET
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NE
- weeks left when called:
- 18
D.J. Reed to move to Jacksonville Jaguars
“I had him going to Jacksonville. They were a dumpster fire on defense last year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- D.J. Reed
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- JAX
- was with:
- NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- DET
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Stefon Diggs to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
“Stefan Diggs. Yeah, there is no better place to send him for a shit show of a room than the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Stefon Diggs
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- PIT
- was with:
- HOU
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NE
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Jacoby Brissett to move to Cleveland Browns
“one guy who did extremely well under Kevin Stefanski ... was Jacobe Burssett. So I am going to bring him back”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jacoby Brissett
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- CLE
- was with:
- NE
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- ARI
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Trade and Signing CallsRonnie StanleyMar 6, 2025
Ronnie Stanley to move
“I don't think so. I think he's moving on. I think they'll get somebody else in free agency.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Ronnie Stanley
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- BAL
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- BAL
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Malcolm Koonce to move to Atlanta Falcons
“I think the Malcolm Konts is that guy. So I'm sending him to the atl.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Malcolm Koonce
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- ATL
- was with:
- LV
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- LV
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Chase Young to move to Detroit Lions
“The one that makes sense is Chase Young to Detroit.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Chase Young
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- DET
- was with:
- NO
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NO
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Nick Bolton to move to Los Angeles Rams
“I think they need a leader on the middle of that defense ... and I think Nick Bolton is that guy ... I think it makes sense out there with the Ram.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Nick Bolton
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LAR
- was with:
- KC
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- KC
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Team Draft Slot CallsCleveland BrownsMar 6, 2025
Cleveland Browns to pick at number 1
“I do believe that the Browns are going to trade up to one and take cam Ward.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09a naive guess scored 11.97+144.24 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CLE
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- they picked 54 the year before
- skill:
- 144.24
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 11.97
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Mock Draft PicksCam WardCleveland BrownsMar 6, 2025
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“the Browns are going to trade up to one and take cam Ward”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Justin Fields to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
“I would be shocked if one of those guys, in particular Justin Fields didn't return to Pittsburgh.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- John ShipleyRoster Spot Calls · Jalen McLeodMiss · 0Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there.
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order.
- Ryan WilsonDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100A CBS Sports piece states Deshaun Watson has won Cleveland's starting quarterback job for Week 1 with Shedeur Sanders next in line, while arguing Watson will not play like even an average NFL quarterback and that none of the Browns' current young passers should stop them from drafting a first-round quarterback next April.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano argues the Browns do not have a franchise quarterback and that it's unlikely Watson or Sanders is their long-term answer.
- John BreechDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes he voted for Jaxson Dart as his breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job.
- Mark ChichesterDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Unsigned PFF piece reporting/asserting that Deshaun Watson will be Cleveland's Week 1 starting quarterback against Jacksonville, with Shedeur Sanders behind him on the depth chart.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Mike MoraitisTrade and Signing Calls · DaRon BlandMiss · 0Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland.
- Bucky BrooksTrade and Signing Calls · Keenan AllenHit · 100Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season.
- Joel CorryTrade and Signing Calls · Baker MayfieldMiss · 0The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause.
- Seth WalderTrade and Signing Calls · Kayshon BoutteMiss · 0Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver.
- Diante LeeTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100A Ringer post-draft power ranking of all 32 teams for the 2026 season, ranked by how much the writer would trust each team to win the Super Bowl, with Denver picked to win the AFC, Detroit projected among the NFC's four best, and win-total calls on Pittsburgh and Miami.
- Scott BogmanTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100Bogman laid out fades on Malik Nabers (knee), Kenneth Walker, Bhayshul Tuten, Christian Watson, Jackson Dart and Sam LaPorta, while liking Isaiah Likely and staying more positive on DJ Moore; he also gave his top-seven tight end board and expected Tuten to lead Jacksonville's backfield.