John Breech Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take | MissedTakes

John Breech

John Breech has been covering the NFL at CBS Sports since 2011, where he writes about everything from weekly game picks to season-long playoff projections. His predictions span the league, touching on teams like the Bills, Lions, Cowboys, and Bengals, and he's a regular contributor to CBS Sports' expert picks and season previews.

Writes at CBS Sports

Every take from John Breech, including the ones still waiting →

Is John Breech accurate? Across 38 graded calls in 8 articles, John Breech scores 36.51% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -18.61, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

36.51%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-18.61

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 8 articles. 330 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

98.59% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Game Outcome Picks18 graded38.89 accuracy
Score Predictions18 graded25.15 accuracy

Against the grain

Teams and players where John Breech keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

Tennessee Titans-100
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Jacksonville Jaguars-11
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

earliest callscareer avg 56 ┄latest form: 48

Graded calls · 38

In the Pick Six newsletter, Breech picks the Broncos to upset the Chiefs on Monday night, 23-21.Sep 14, 2026
- Denver Broncos 23 — Chiefs 21
  “John Breech's pick: Broncos 23-21 over Chiefs”
  Miss · 5Scored 4.76a naive guess scored 51.93-94.35 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  10-31
  skill:
  -94.35
  they picked:
  DEN
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  4.76
  baseline:
  51.93
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  21
  weeks left when called:
  18
  naive home margin:

Breech makes score picks for every Week 1 game of the 2026 season, and references his season preview in which he has the Bills winning the AFC East and the Texans winning the AFC South, both at 11-6.16 graded calls · Sep 8, 2026

Denver Broncos 23 — Chiefs 21
“THE PICK: Broncos 23-21 over Chiefs”
Miss · 5Scored 4.76a naive guess scored 51.93-94.35 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-31
skill:
-94.35
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
4.76
baseline:
51.93
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
0.81
predicted margin:
2
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 27 — Patriots 17
“THE PICK: Seahawks 27-17 over Patriots”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 100-33.33 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-13
skill:
-33.33
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
3
predicted margin:
10
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions 30 — Saints 20
“Lions 30-20 over Saints”
Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 96.35-35.56 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-31
skill:
-35.56
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
78.57
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
1
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
10
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 27 — Colts 20
“Ravens 27-20 over Colts”
Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 5.87+135.87 skill
How this was scored
score:
41-23
skill:
135.87
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
73.81
baseline:
5.87
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
18
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Commanders 21
“Eagles 27-21 over Commanders”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 93.97-6.98 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-24
skill:
-6.98
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers 22 — Vikings 19
“Packers 22-19 over Vikings”
Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 58.25-83.17 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-39
skill:
-83.17
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
16.67
baseline:
58.25
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 19 — Browns 16
“Jaguars 19-16 over Browns”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-34
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears 24 — Panthers 21
“Bears 24-21 over Panthers”
Close · 55Scored 54.76a naive guess scored 0+109.52 skill
How this was scored
score:
59-37
skill:
109.52
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
54.76
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
22
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 24 — 49ers 17
“THE PICK: Rams 24-17 over 49ers”
Miss · 19Scored 19.05a naive guess scored 0+38.1 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-7
skill:
38.1
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
19.05
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
20
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-8.5
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Las Vegas Raiders 20 — Dolphins 13
“THE PICK: Raiders 20-13 over Dolphins”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 65.4+35.87 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-27
skill:
35.87
they picked:
LV
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
65.4
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans 20 — Bills 19
“THE PICK: Texans 20-19 over Bills”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 36.83+7.3 skill
How this was scored
score:
36-31
skill:
7.3
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
36.83
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Pittsburgh Steelers 23 — Falcons 20
“Steelers 23-20 over Falcons”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 82.06+16.83 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-20
skill:
16.83
they picked:
PIT
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
82.06
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Chargers 31 — Cardinals 21
“Chargers 31-21 over Cardinals”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 20.16+50.16 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-14
skill:
50.16
they picked:
LAC
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
20.16
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
10
Think this grade is wrong?
Tennessee Titans 16 — Jets 13
“Titans 16-13 over Jets”
Miss · 26Scored 26.19a naive guess scored 17.78+16.83 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-10
skill:
16.83
they picked:
TEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
26.19
baseline:
17.78
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
13
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals 23 — Buccaneers 16
“Bengals 23-16 over Buccaneers”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 84.44+26.35 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-33
skill:
26.35
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
84.44
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys 30 — Giants 23
“Cowboys 30-23 over Giants”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 79.68-64.13 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-28
skill:
-64.13
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
79.68
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?

An unsigned CBS Sports piece predicts the week each NFL team will suffer its first loss, effectively picking winners in each of those games, and names the Ravens as the league's final undefeated team after a 7-0 start.15 graded calls · Aug 19, 2026

Las Vegas Raiders to win
“Dolphins (at Raiders). ... it's hard to field a competitive team when more than half of your salary cap is being eaten up by players who aren't even on the team.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
LV
score:
13-27
skill:
0
they picked:
LV
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
LV
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Tennessee Titans to win
“Jets (at Titans). ... then the Titans should be able to pull off the upset.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NYJ
score:
23-10
skill:
0
they picked:
TEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TEN
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to win
“Broncos (at Chiefs). ... it's hard to pick against a Chiefs team that will be opening the season at home in primetime.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
KC
score:
10-31
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to win
“Texans (vs. Bills). ... that will be enough to put Buffalo just barely over the top in this AFC showdown.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
36-31
skill:
200
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
“Falcons (at Steelers). ... but that won't be enough to help Atlanta pull off the upset.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
13-20
skill:
0
they picked:
PIT
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PIT
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to win
“49ers (vs. Rams). ... for that reason alone, I like the Rams. I also like the Rams because I think they have a better roster.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SF
score:
27-7
skill:
0
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers to win
“Vikings (vs. Packers). ... The Vikings new quarterback is trying to learn a new offense ... This will be one of those hiccups.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
won:
MIN
score:
22-39
skill:
-200
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
MIN
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears to win
“Panthers (vs. Bears). The Panthers will be missing both of their starting tackles ... it's hard to win games in the NFL when you're missing both of your starting tackles.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
CHI
score:
59-37
skill:
200
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
CAR
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to win
“Buccaneers (at Bengals). ... That's not a good combination for the Bucs, who will be facing a desperate Bengals team that's going into a make-or-break season.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
CIN
score:
27-33
skill:
0
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
CIN
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to win
“Colts (vs. Ravens). ... it's hard to imagine the Colts pulling this off if they're not at 100%.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
BAL
score:
41-23
skill:
200
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
IND
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Giants (vs. Cowboys). ... The Cowboys are returning every starter on their offense and that should put them in a spot to steal this one in a shootout.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
won:
NYG
score:
20-28
skill:
-200
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NYG
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to win
“Commanders (at Eagles). ... he always has his team ready to play in the opener and this year should be no exception.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
PHI
score:
22-24
skill:
0
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Chargers to win
“Cardinals (at Chargers). Jim Harbaugh has NEVER lost an NFL opener in his career ... and I don't see that streak ending here.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
ARI
score:
26-14
skill:
0
they picked:
LAC
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAC
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions to win
“Saints (at Lions). ... it's hard to see the Saints keeping up.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
DET
score:
30-31
skill:
0
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to win
“Patriots (at Seahawks). ... This game might turn into an even bigger blowout with the Seahawks playing at home.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
10-13
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?