Andrew Erickson · Feb 21, 2026
Erickson lays out his own early 2026 running back ranks, fading Christian McCaffrey to RB10 after his 450-touch season, boosting Chase Brown to RB7, Breece Hall to RB12 and Tyler Allgeier to RB28, while docking Kyle Monangai, Rhamondre Stevenson and Woody Marks. He also expects Hall to leave the Jets and be a fantasy RB1 elsewhere.
“He's gonna be a fantasy RB one on a team not named the New York Jets.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Positional FinishesBreece HallFeb 21, 2026
“So I think he can be a fantasy RB one as long as he's not on the New York Jets”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 100-50 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -50
- player:
- Breece Hall
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 18
- actual finish:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- predicted finish:
- 12
- Fantasy RankingsFeb 21, 2026
“Much lower than the consensus rank of RB three. I have met RB ten... you have him at RB seven [Chase Brown]... You've got him just cracking that group at twelve [Breece Hall]... you've got him a little bit lower on RB fifteen [Jeremiah Love]... you've got him all the way that thirty eight [Monangai]... He's ECR of twenty from jam all the way at thirty four [Stevenson]... you've got him all the way the forty four [Woody Marks]... He's forty one. But you've got him all the way at twenty eight [Allgeier]”
Scored 87.5a naive guess scored 50+37.5 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 37.5
- placed:
- 7
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 8
- accuracy:
- 87.5
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- RB 7: 87.5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Trade and Signing CallsBreece HallFeb 21, 2026
“He's I don't think he's gonna play for the Jets.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsJoe MixonHouston TexansFeb 21, 2026
“the way that things are gonna shake out with Joe Mixon. He's probably gonna get cut from the Texan”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.