Andrew Erickson· Feb 21, 2026
Erickson lays out his own early 2026 running back ranks, fading Christian McCaffrey to RB10 after his 450-touch season, boosting Chase Brown to RB7, Breece Hall to RB12 and Tyler Allgeier to RB28, while docking Kyle Monangai, Rhamondre Stevenson and Woody Marks. He also expects Hall to leave the Jets and be a fantasy RB1 elsewhere.
“He's gonna be a fantasy RB one on a team not named the New York Jets.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
4 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 68.8 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Positional FinishesBreece HallFeb 21, 2026
Breece Hall to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
“So I think he can be a fantasy RB one as long as he's not on the New York Jets”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 100-50 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -50
- player:
- Breece Hall
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 18
- actual finish:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- predicted finish:
- 12
- Fantasy RankingsFeb 21, 2026
“Much lower than the consensus rank of RB three. I have met RB ten... you have him at RB seven [Chase Brown]... You've got him just cracking that group at twelve [Breece Hall]... you've got him a little bit lower on RB fifteen [Jeremiah Love]... you've got him all the way that thirty eight [Monangai]... He's ECR of twenty from jam all the way at thirty four [Stevenson]... you've got him all the way the forty four [Woody Marks]... He's forty one. But you've got him all the way at twenty eight [Allgeier]”
Hit · 88Scored 87.5a naive guess scored 50+37.5 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 37.5
- placed:
- 7
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 8
- accuracy:
- 87.5
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- RB 7: 87.5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Trade and Signing CallsBreece HallFeb 21, 2026
Breece Hall to move
“He's I don't think he's gonna play for the Jets.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Trade and Signing CallsJoe MixonHouston TexansFeb 21, 2026
Joe Mixon to move to Houston Texans
“the way that things are gonna shake out with Joe Mixon. He's probably gonna get cut from the Texan”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Jared KochRoster Spot Calls · Nico CollinsHit · 100Koch projects the Texans' wide receiver depth chart after Jayden Higgins' season-ending injury, naming Nico Collins, Xavier Hutchinson and Jaylin Noel as starters, listing backups and roster locks, and predicting Collins tops his 2025 receiving marks.
- Jared KochRoster Spot Calls · Brevin JordanHit · 100Koch expects Brevin Jordan to be the odd man out among Houston's five tight ends and be inactive for the Week 1 game against the Bills, largely due to a leg injury.
- Jared KochRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Koch argues Kayshon Boutte is a winner in the trade to Houston, likely to see many more snaps and potentially post a career season, while Xavier Hutchinson's path to a breakout gets harder. He also sees Kamari Ramsey stepping up as the primary backup safety behind a top three of Bullock, Pitre and Blankenship, and views Jared Wayne as a fringe roster player squeezed by receivers he calls virtual locks.
- Jared KochRoster Spot Calls · Jared WayneHit · 100Koch highlights five Texans preseason standouts, suggesting Jared Wayne could claim the final receiver roster spot, Aiden Fisher could sneak onto the 53-man roster, Jaylen Reed has locked in a Week 1 roster spot, Marlin Klein will climb the tight end depth chart, and Wade Woodaz has a solid chance at the LB3 role.
- Jared KochRoster Spot Calls · Jared WayneHit · 100Koch argues that with Jayden Higgins lost for the season, third-year receiver Jared Wayne's rising stock makes him likely to make the Texans' 53-man roster rather than the practice squad.
- Lance ZierleinRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Zierlein expects Texans QB C.J. Stroud to play roughly 10-12 plays in Thursday's preseason game, with Davis Mills going to halftime and newly signed Brett Rypien playing the entire second half. He also said if Tank Dell isn't ready, Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall would both likely make the roster, and predicted Keelan Rutledge will be the starting center with Wyatt Teller and Braden Smith starting.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Bryan DeArdoTrade and Signing Calls · Darius SlaytonHit · 100A CBS Sports piece on the Giants releasing Darius Slayton predicts he will be signed by another NFL team fairly quickly, and lists possible landing spots without committing to one.
- Noah StrackbeinTrade and Signing Calls · Darius SlaytonHit · 100Strackbein says Pittsburgh views Roman Wilson as its No. 3 receiver behind DK Metcalf and Michael Pittman Jr., but argues the Steelers should add released Giants veteran Darius Slayton as insurance, expecting Slayton to sign cheaply on a veteran-minimum deal, and refers to 2026 as Aaron Rodgers' final season.
- Patricia TrainaTrade and Signing Calls · Darius SlaytonHit · 100Traina writes that the Giants may make more trades before the roster cutdown and names the players she sees as the most likely candidates to be dealt: kicker Ben Sauls, one of receivers Darius Slayton or Darnell Mooney, offensive lineman Jake Kubas, and linebacker Darius Muasau.
- Devon PlatanaTrade and Signing Calls · Johnny HekkerHit · 100With punter Brett Thorson dealing with a hamstring injury, Platana suggests the Vikings have a decent chance of bringing back veteran free-agent punter Johnny Hekker as a familiar fill-in.
- Greg AumanTrade and Signing Calls · Will LevisHit · 100Auman predicts that Will Levis, released by Tennessee, will almost certainly be claimed on waivers by another team.
- John MaakaronTrade and Signing Calls · Joe BachieHit · 100Maakaron suggests several Lions players could be cut and land on other rosters: linebacker Joe Bachie, defensive linemen Ben Stille and Chris Smith, and running back Sione Vaki.