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Jared Koch· Aug 20, 2026

Koch argues that with Jayden Higgins lost for the season, third-year receiver Jared Wayne's rising stock makes him likely to make the Texans' 53-man roster rather than the practice squad.

“Now? That opportunity to make it past the cut is better than it's ever been for Wayne”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Roster Spot CallsJared WayneHouston TexansAug 20, 2026

    Jared Wayne to make the roster

    “one player already on the 90-man roster feels due for much better odds to make the 53-man cut: third-year wideout Jared Wayne.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    HOU
    skill:
    0
    player:
    3d2b4311-337b-4fe5-b0dd-5d2dfaa7ac2a
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

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