David Harrison · Feb 16, 2026
In a mock draft for the Washington Commanders, Harrison trades pick No. 7 to the Jets for picks 16 and 33 and then projects seven specific selections: Peter Woods at 16, Emmanuel McNeil-Warren at 33, Keelan Rutledge in the third, Max Llewellyn in the fifth, Tanner Koziol at 186, Robert Spears-Jennings at 197 and James Thompson Jr. at 223.
“And at number 16, we went with interior defensive lineman, Peter Woods, out of Clemson”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast) · read the original →
7 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked at number 197
“And then number one ninety seven, again, in the sixth round, going back to the secondary ... Robert Spears Jennings out of Oklahoma.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Robert Spears-Jennings
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with PIT
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 197
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 33
“Come back in the second round pick number 33... Emmanuel McNeil Warren, safety added Toledo”
Miss · 34Scored 33.86 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 33.86
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 58
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 33.86
- predicted pick:
- 33
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
James Thompson to be picked at number 223
“Number two twenty three in the seventh round, wrapping up our mock draft. Defensive lineman, James Thompson Junior”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- James Thompson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with SF
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 223
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Tanner Koziol to be picked at number 186
“Pick number one eighty six. ... We're going with Tanner Cozy, old tight end out of Houston.”
Miss · 39Scored 38.56 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Tanner Koziol
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 38.56
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 164
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 38.56
- predicted pick:
- 186
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Max Llewellyn to be picked “fifth round pick” (picks 129–172)
“fifth round pick. Max Llewellyn, Ed Rusher out of Iowa.”
Miss · 6Scored 5.73 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Max Llewellyn
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 5.73
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 238
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 5.73
- predicted pick:
- fifth round pick (picks 129–172)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Keylan Rutledge to be picked “third round” (picks 65–96)
“And then the third round to wrap up the first two days of the NFL draft, we're going with offensive lineman, Keelan Rutledge out of Georgia Tech.”
Miss · 18Scored 18.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Keylan Rutledge
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 18.46
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 26
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 18.46
- predicted pick:
- third round (picks 65–96)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksPeter WoodsWashington CommandersFeb 16, 2026
Peter Woods to be picked at number 16
“And at number 16, we went with interior defensive lineman, Peter Woods, out of Clemson, six foot three, three hundred fifteen pound, type of guy.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Peter Woods
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with KC
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100