Pat Fitzmaurice · Jun 14, 2025
Fitzmorris ranks Chase Brown RB11 and expects him to remain Cincinnati's lead back, is far higher than the projections on Drake May (QB9, 700 rushing yards), and views Bucky Irving as an undervalued second-round pick who keeps the Tampa Bay lead job over Rachaad White.
“I do think Chase Brown is still pretty safely going to be the lead back in one of the best offenses in the league.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
7 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
“So the projections have Drake May QB twenty in fantasy scoring. That's the scary part. I have May at QB nine”
Scored 41.67a naive guess scored 0+83.33 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 83.33
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 41.67
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 22
- actual finish:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 9
- Depth Chart CallsChase BrownCincinnati BengalsJun 14, 2025
“But I do think Chase Brown is still pretty safely going to be the lead back in one of the best offenses in the league.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Chase Brown
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Positional FinishesChase BrownCincinnati BengalsJun 14, 2025
“so I've Chased Brown at RB eleven in my rankings”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 83.33+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Chase Brown
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 12
- actual finish:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 11
“Rashad was in a pure backup rowl. I don't think there's any chance the pendulum swings back towards Rashad White barring injury”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- TB
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Rachaad White
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Bucky Irving's not going to lose his job back to Rashad White... I don't think there's any chance the pendulum swings back towards Rashad White barring injury”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- TB
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Bucky Irving
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I think if he makes sixteen starts or seventeen, he is going to go for seven hundred rushing yards. And I feel pretty confident about that.”
Scored 28.57a naive guess scored 25.8+5.54 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 283.05
- skill:
- 5.54
- what happened:
- 450
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 28.57
- baseline:
- 25.8
- predicted:
- 700
- statistic:
- rushing_yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 421
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 145.1
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Sleeper CallsBucky IrvingTampa Bay BuccaneersJun 14, 2025
“I thought he was a pretty solid option in the latter part of the second round of twenty twenty five drafts. I know a lot of people think he's more of a third or fourth rounder, and the projection seem to agree”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.