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Joe Marino· Mar 26, 2026

Marino's mock drafts had the Bills taking Utah offensive lineman Spencer Fano at pick 26 and adding kicker Trey Smack and punter Jack Stonehouse on day three; he also says second-year cornerback Maxwell Hairston will be a starter for Buffalo in 2026.

“Chris Maxwell Hairston is gonna be a starter this year.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 47.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
26They said
9What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Spencer Fano to be picked at number 26

    “We got to pick 26, and I thought the logical thing to do was actually to pick an offensive lineman... It was actually Spencer Fano... And so I went with Spencer Fano”

    Close · 48Scored 47.88a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    47.88
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    47.88
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trey Smack to be picked “day three”

    “I had, Trey Smack... And Jack Stonehouse. I had I I had them draft them both on day three”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jack Stonehouse to be picked “day three”

    “I had, Trey Smack... And Jack Stonehouse. I had I I had them draft them both on day three to, get long term young players at those spots.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Maxwell Hairston to be 1st on the depth chart

    “They have Christian Benford locked up. Chris Maxwell Hairston is gonna be a starter this year.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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