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Brendon Nelson· Sep 25, 2026

Nelson expects Sam Darnold to return and play the entire game against Washington in Week 3, rather than being limited or rested, unless it becomes a blowout. He also doubts Seattle trades Drew Lock, arguing the big offer won't materialize and Seattle should keep him as quarterback insurance.

“Barring a blowout, which seems entirely on the table right now, I suspect Sam takes the whole game.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 availability call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • “As of this writing, all signs point towards Sam Darnold playing on Sunday against the Commanders... Barring a blowout, which seems entirely on the table right now, I suspect Sam takes the whole game. (Week 3 vs. Commanders)”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Drew Lock to move — “no Godfather offer is coming; Seahawks keep him as QB insurance rather than trading him at the deadline”

    “If someone comes out with a Godfather offer for him, like a second round pick or a really valuable player, then sure. But I don't believe that offer is coming, and short of that I'd rather have the insurance at the quarterback position.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More availability calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these