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Kent Swanson· Jan 28, 2026

Kent ranks Miami defensive end Ruben Bain as his No. 1 player in the class and Notre Dame running back Jeremiah Love No. 2, comparing Love to Bijan Robinson and saying Love won't last to the Chiefs' ninth pick. He ranks the three top receivers Mekhi Lemmon, Carnell Tate, Jordan Tyson, and pegs a group of mid-round running backs as third-round values.

“I think it's love or bust.”

said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast) · read the original →

6 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks and 2 top player lists — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 33.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
worth a third round pick (picks 65–100)They said
108What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mock Draft PicksJonah ColemanWashington CommandersJan 28, 2026

    Jonah Coleman to be picked “worth a third round pick” (picks 65–100)

    “There's Jonah Coleman from Washington who's very good... I think all those guys are probably worth a third round pick somewhere.”

    Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jonah Coleman
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    108
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    worth a third round pick (picks 65–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksEmmett JohnsonJan 28, 2026

    Emmett Johnson to be picked “worth a third round pick” (picks 65–100)

    “Emmett Johnson, the the Nebraska running back. I think all those guys are probably worth a third round pick somewhere.”

    Miss · 7Scored 7.12a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Emmett Johnson
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    7.12
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    161
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    7.12
    predicted pick:
    worth a third round pick (picks 65–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksJadarian PriceJan 28, 2026

    Jadarian Price to be picked “worth a third round pick” (picks 65–100)

    “Jadarian Price out of Notre Dame... I think all those guys are probably worth a third round pick somewhere.”

    Miss · 24Scored 23.94a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jadarian Price
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    23.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    32
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    23.94
    predicted pick:
    worth a third round pick (picks 65–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Top Player ListsJan 28, 2026

    “So I think I go lemon. Then I go carnal Tate... Jordan Tyson is the smoothest, prettiest route runner... But I think that's how I'd stack them right now.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Top Player ListsJan 28, 2026

    “So I gave you Ruben Bane is, like, my number one. Yeah. My number two is, I think, who the best player best football player in this draft is. It's Jeremiah Love.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksJeremiyah LoveJan 28, 2026

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “isn't gonna be on the board at nine”

    “I think that means that Jeremiah Love isn't gonna be on the board at nine when they pick. I I think I don't think he's gonna be there if I'm being honest with you.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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