David Harrison· Apr 14, 2026
In a mock draft built around trading back from No. 7, Harrison has Washington land Tennessee CB Jermott McCoy at 18, LB Jacob Rodriguez at 46, WR Elijah Surratt at 71, C Logan Jones at 97, OT Diego Pounds at 147, S Robert Spears Jennings at 209 and WR Zavion Thomas at 246, with Jeremiah Love going to Tampa Bay at 7 and Mansour DeLayne to Minnesota at 15.
“First round, eighteenth overall pick. So, obviously, there is a trade back there. Jermott McCoy, cornerback out of Tennessee.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast) · read the original →
9 checkable claims — 9 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 9 have settled, averaging 36.1 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pick209They said
224What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked at number 209
“at two zero nine in the seventh round, we get Robert Spears Jennings, the safety out of Oklahoma”
Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.07 against a shuffle’s 50+41.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.07
- player:
- Robert Spears-Jennings
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 52.21
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 224
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 52.21
- predicted pick:
- 209
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.07
- Mock Draft PicksLogan JonesWashington CommandersApr 14, 2026
Logan Jones to be picked at number 97
“So at number 97, we pick up Logan Jones, the center out of Iowa.”
Miss · 18Scored 17.68 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.07 against a shuffle’s 50+41.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.07
- player:
- Logan Jones
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 17.68
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 57
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 17.68
- predicted pick:
- 97
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.07
- Mock Draft PicksMansoor DelaneMinnesota VikingsApr 14, 2026
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 15
“The Minnesota Vikings move up to 15... Mansour Delaney goes to Minnesota”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Mansoor Delane
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 7
“So the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they get Jeremiah Love.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
Diego Pounds to be picked at number 147
“So I'm going with Diego pounds out of Ole Miss at number one forty seven.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Diego Pounds
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with BAL
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 147
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
Elijah Sarratt to be picked at number 71
“we get Elijah Sarat, Indiana wide receiver at pick number 71 for me”
Miss · 15Scored 14.87 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Elijah Sarratt
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 14.87
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 115
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 14.87
- predicted pick:
- 71
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
Jacob Rodriguez to be picked at number 46
“We come back in the second round, pick number 46, and get Texas Tech linebacker Jacob Rodriguez.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Jacob Rodriguez
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 43
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 46
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
Jermott McCoy to be picked at number 18
“First round, eighteenth overall pick... Jermott McCoy, cornerback out of Tennessee.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Jermott McCoy
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
Zavion Thomas to be picked at number 246
“The number two forty six, I'm gonna go with a guy who's projected to be a UDFA. I'm bringing a wide receiver, Xavien Thomas.”
Miss · 0Scored 0.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Zavion Thomas
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 89
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.11
- predicted pick:
- 246
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
What others said about the same people
- Fox SportsRoster Spot Calls · J.J. McCarthyHit · 100FOX Sports projects Kyle McCord as Miami's backup behind starter Malik Willis, Mitchell Trubisky as Tennessee's primary backup behind starter Cam Ward, and J.J. McCarthy making the Vikings' 53-man roster.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Elijah SarrattHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Elijah SarrattHit · 100PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back.
- Trevor RipleyRoster Spot Calls · Jacob ThomasHit · 100Ripley expects UDFA safety Jacob Thomas to earn a roster spot with the Vikings after a strong preseason showing, believes Jay Ward will start opposite Metellus, and thinks Theo Jackson's roster spot is safe despite losing his starting job.
- Tom JensenRoster Spot Calls · T.J. HockensonMiss · 0NFL.com published a list of players it expects to be released by cutdown day, headlined by tight ends Dawson Knox, T.J. Hockenson and Cole Kmet.
- Mike MoraitisRoster Spot Calls · Zavion ThomasHit · 100Moraitis argues Ruben Hyppolite is at real risk of being cut, names T.J. Edwards, Devin Bush, D'Marco Jackson (and a healthy Keyshaun Elliott) as locks at linebacker, says Braxton Jones is the clear favorite to start at left tackle with Amegadjie and Wills fighting for a backup job (the loser possibly cut), and believes Scotty Miller has the edge over Kaden Davis for the final receiver spot.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.