Matt Hamilton· Sep 8, 2026
Hamilton picked Cowboys, Packers, Saints, Rams, Bills, Ravens, Texans and Broncos as division winners, with Seahawks/Eagles/Bears and Chiefs/Jaguars/Bengals as wild cards, a Rams win over the Chiefs in the Super Bowl, and awards to Jordan Love, JSN, Jeremiah Love, Ruben Bain and Jesse Minter. He also picked Denver to beat Kansas City 27-17 in Week 1.
“We're gonna get it, and we're getting fireworks in LA for that Super Bowl Chiefs Rams.”
said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast) · read the original →
24 checkable claims — 8 division winners, 6 playoff picks, 4 award picks, 2 conference champions, 2 score predictions, 1 coach award pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 24 have settled so far, averaging 23.8 out of 100, against 51.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Broncos at Chiefs 45 calls
- Colts at Chiefs 4 calls
24 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsDenver BroncosSep 8, 2026
Denver Broncos 27 — Chiefs 17
“I do think the Broncos are gonna win this game week one. I'm gonna say twenty seven seventeen.”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 51.93-56.25 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 10-31
- skill:
- -56.25
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 23.81
- baseline:
- 51.93
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- 0.81
- predicted margin:
- 10
- Division WinnersLos Angeles RamsSep 8, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“I'm gonna go with the Rams... I think the Rams did overtake them this year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksSeattle SeahawksSep 8, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
“I'm going Seahawks... they'll be my top wildcard team”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksPhiladelphia EaglesSep 8, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
“then I'll go Eagles. I don't think the wheels are totally gonna fall off this thing yet.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksChicago BearsSep 8, 2026
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
“And then I'm gonna go bears because I agree with a lot of the stuff you said, Kent.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsSep 8, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs 24 — Colts 14
“But I think the Chiefs bounced back and beat the Colts. I'm gonna say twenty four fourteen.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Coach Award PicksSep 8, 2026
Jesse Minter to win Coach of the Year
“I'm gonna go Jesse Minter. I think, the Ravens had a nice big bounce back here.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersBuffalo BillsSep 8, 2026
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“I'm also gonna go with the Bills... I think they're good enough to win win the East.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersBaltimore RavensSep 8, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“I'm gonna go with the Ravens... So I think the Ravens are gonna be right back, in the class of the AFC”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersHouston TexansSep 8, 2026
Houston Texans to win the division
“So I'm gonna go with the Texans there edging out the Jaguars.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersDenver BroncosSep 8, 2026
Denver Broncos to win the division
“But I'm going to pick the Denver Broncos... I am picking the Broncos to win the west.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 8, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“My wild card teams, I'm going with the Chiefs as the top wild card spot.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksJacksonville JaguarsSep 8, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“I'm going with the Jaguars”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksCincinnati BengalsSep 8, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
“I'm going with Ken Swanson's favorite new favorite team, the Bengals, as my final wild card spot”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Conference ChampionsLos Angeles RamsSep 8, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl
“on the NFC side, I'll be I'll take the low hanging fruit of the Rams”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Conference ChampionsKansas City ChiefsSep 8, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“And I think it's the Kansas City Chiefs. I think they're going.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles RamsSep 8, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
“I think I think the Rams pulled off over the Chiefs. I think there's too much firepower.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersNew Orleans SaintsSep 8, 2026
New Orleans Saints to win the division
“I'm gonna go Saints. I like what I saw from Tyler Shuck.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Award PicksRueben BainSep 8, 2026
Rueben Bain to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“I'm gonna go Ruben Bayne... I think he has a dominant year”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Award PicksJordan LoveGreen Bay PackersSep 8, 2026
Jordan Love to win MVP
“I'm calling Jordan Love... So I'm going Jordan love.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Award PicksJaxon Smith-NjigbaSep 8, 2026
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year
“I'm going JSN. I think he becomes just the third player to win it back to back.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Award PicksJeremiyah LoveSep 8, 2026
Jeremiyah Love to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“I'm gonna go with Notre Dame starter, because I think, he he's gonna catch them all a lot... going with Jeremiah Love.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersDallas CowboysSep 8, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
“So I think the cowboys end up edging edging out the eagles there in the East.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersGreen Bay PackersSep 8, 2026
Green Bay Packers to win the division
“But I'm gonna go with the Packers... but I'm I'm in on Jordan Love.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Drew LockMiss · 0In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona.
- Mike MoraitisTrade and Signing Calls · DaRon BlandHit · 100Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland.
- John ShipleyRoster Spot Calls · Jack KiserMiss · 0Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there.
- Jared DubinDepth Chart Calls · Daniel FaaleleMiss · 0Dubin grades the Faalele trade, predicting Faalele has a decent chance to be Jacksonville's Week 1 starting right guard in competition with Wyatt Milum, and that Evan Neal's odds of making the Giants' 53-man roster improved while Jon Runyan and Francis Mauigoa hold the Giants' starting guard jobs.
- Mike MoraitisDepth Chart Calls · Ozzy TrapiloMiss · 0Moraitis writes that although Braxton Jones has looked like the favorite, Ozzy Trapilo is likely to take over as the Bears' starting left tackle once he's healthy enough to play.
- Pete MartuneacDepth Chart Calls · Ozzy TrapiloMiss · 0After Trapilo's activation from the PUP list roughly seven months after rupturing his patellar tendon, Martuneac says the Bears' left tackle competition is over and Trapilo will be starting at left tackle early in the 2026 season, even if not by Week 1.
More division winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Daniel DiBerardinisDivision Winners · Atlanta FalconsMiss · 0Danny D predicts Sonny Styles goes in the top ten (maybe top five), doesn't think Ty Simpson goes before late first round, says Kenyon Sadiq lands with the Rams at 13, and picks the Falcons to win the NFC South while naming the Bengals an AFC bounce-back team. He also gives a Final Four of Michigan, Florida, Purdue and Arizona with Michigan winning.
- Colin CowherdDivision Winners · New York GiantsMiss · 0Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.
- Colin CowherdDivision Winners · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Cowherd unveiled his top 10 NFL teams entering next season, with Seattle first, the Rams second and the Chiefs tenth, and separately picked the Chargers to win the AFC West.
- Rich EisenDivision Winners · New England PatriotsHit · 100Eisen said the Patriots are still likely to win the AFC East and won't be one-and-done, that the Chargers will end Dallas' season next week, that TreVeyon Henderson should out-snap Rhamondre Stevenson, that the NFC East race is over in Philadelphia's favor, and that the winner of the NFC West will be the NFC's No. 1 seed.
- Rich EisenDivision Winners · New England PatriotsHit · 100Eisen previewed week 15 games, predicting Joe Burrow would play well in his first home start back against Baltimore, and speculated on a possible Colts-Steelers wild card matchup. He also asserted the Chiefs will not win their division for a tenth straight year, keeping the Patriots' record of 11 straight division titles safe.
- Nick ShookDivision Winners · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0Shook picks the Rams to win the Super Bowl and to beat the Lions, agrees the Buccaneers still hold the edge in the NFC South, and drops Patrick Mahomes to 12th in his QB Index behind Brock Purdy.