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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
96.62% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Pro Football Focus’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 3 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
576–600 of 1,021
61 / 1,021
graded
960 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles (1 higher, 1 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Geno Smith to be 1st on the depth chart
Their best hope of ending that streak is 35-year-old Geno Smith
Dan Moore Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
Austin Deculus was added in free agency to provide competition, though ... he is unlikely to pose a serious challenge for the starting job.
Robert Hainsey to be 1st on the depth chart
The Jaguars return two projected starters on the interior offensive line ... Center Robert Hainsey
Robert HainseyJacksonville Jaguars
Patrick Mekari to be 1st on the depth chart
right guard Patrick Mekari also finished below the 60.0 mark
Patrick MekariJacksonville Jaguars
Cade Mays to be 1st on the depth chart
Mays projects as a solid option at center but has played more than 500 snaps just once in his career.
Olaivavega Ioane to be 1st on the depth chart
Vega Ioane and John Simpson should be upgrades over Daniel Faalele and Andrew Vorhees
Olaivavega IoaneBaltimore Ravens
Blake Miller to be 1st on the depth chart
he will line up next to rookie Blake Miller in 2026 after spending last season alongside Sewell
John Simpson to be 1st on the depth chart
Vega Ioane and John Simpson should be upgrades over Daniel Faalele and Andrew Vorhees
Rashee Rice to make the roster
Rice is expected to be available in Week 1 after missing significant time in each of the past two seasons.
Roy Lopez to be 1st on the depth chart
the only projected new starter, Roy Lopez, earned a PFF grade below 70.0 in 2025
Jalen Redmond to be 1st on the depth chart
The interior of Minnesota's defensive line is even greener, with rookies Caleb Banks and Domonique Orange poised for significant roles next to Jalen Redmond.
Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart
A healthy Jonathon Brooks should lead the Carolina Panthers backfield ... he has a clear path to becoming Carolina's lead back.
Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost
Justin Herbert offers quarterback upside: Herbert finished with 498 rushing yards last season and enters 2026 with Mike McDaniel as his new offensive coordinator.
Justin Jefferson to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
this change should result in Jefferson returning to the top-five fantasy wide receivers.
Justin Jefferson to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 1.11)
WR Justin Jefferson , Minnesota Vikings (ADP: 1.11) ... Justin Jefferson is a first-round target
Dalton Kincaid to outplay his draft cost (a ninth-round ADP)
Dalton Kincaid provides value at tight end: Kincaid has produced 2.12 yards per route run over the past two seasons and carries a ninth-round ADP.
Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
Christian Watson is finally the clear No. 1 in Green Bay
Brian Thomas Jr. to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 7.10)
improved chemistry with Lawrence and some positive touchdown regression should make his third season considerably better than his second. At a seventh-round price, that rebound is worth betting on.
A.J. Brown to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 2.12)
A.J. Brown , New England Patriots (ADP: 2.12) ... Brown should not only be a bigger part of the Patriots' offense, but also more effective per target as well.
Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 4.04)
Garrett Wilson , New York Jets (ADP: 4.04) ... These are the wide receivers going in the first 10 rounds whom I rank higher than their consensus ADP
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 6.12)
Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers (ADP: 6.12) ... At a sixth-round ADP, fantasy managers aren’t paying anything close to that ceiling.
Adonai Mitchell to be 1st on the depth chart
while Adonai Mitchell will serve as the X receiver
Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 10.12)
Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers (ADP: 10.12) ... At the end of the 10th round, that upside is well worth the price.
Malachi Fields to be 2nd on the depth chart
The third-round pick caught two contested catches in his preseason debut and might be New York's WR2.
Nate Wiggins to be 1st on the depth chart
The Ravens seem to have their starting cornerbacks set in Marlon Humphrey and Nate Wiggins