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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
9% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
38 / 409
graded
371 still pending
1–25 of 409
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top 40 in the FantasyPros Flex rankings)
the problems with their QB room can cost a lot for all receivers this season, and I don't see Carolina doing a bad game like over the Bears
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top 40 in the FantasyPros Flex rankings)
Drake London. Atlanta looks broken... I'm not trusting anyone except Bijan Robinson.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top 20 receivers)
Rice is being drafted before the likes of Ladd McConkey, Tetairoa McMillan, Emeka Egbuks, and Jameson Williams... leaving someone else choose to grab Rashee Rice inside the top 20 receivers.
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (amongst the top-10 receivers and a top-25 player overall)
London is being drafted amongst the top-10 receivers and a top-25 player overall. It’s very difficult to envision the talented receiver returning that type of production
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted as a WR1)
Having said the young receiver being drafted as a WR1, and we can’t subscribe to that.
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (as high as the second round)
There's a lot of injury optimism here, which has bumped Nabers up as high as the second round in drafts. That's too rich for me... I'm fully out on Nabers.
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (a fourth- or fifth-round pick)
I'm not willing to pay a fourth- or fifth-round pick for him.
De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (Round 2)
Round 2 De'Von Achane (RB – MIA) Another talented running back who I'm avoiding is De'Von Achane.
George Kittle to fall short of his draft cost (Round 7)
Round 7 George Kittle (TE – SF) George Kittle looks ready to return, but he is a veteran player coming off a torn Achilles.
George KittleSan Francisco 49ers
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (Round 1)
Round 1 Christian McCaffrey (RB – SF) ... I'm not willing to use a first-round pick on a running back entering his age-30 season, coming off 400+ touches. Add in the lengthy injury history as well, and he's a clear fade.
Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (Round 5)
Round 5 DJ Moore (WR – BUF) ... Moore looks like a declining veteran. ... I don't see much upside here.
Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (Round 3)
Round 3 Josh Allen (QB – BUF) I have Josh Allen ranked as my QB1 overall, but I'm unwilling to draft him in the third round.
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (Round 4)
Round 4 Cam Skattebo (RB – NYG) ... Yes, Skattebo should lead the team in touches, but his draft cost is too high.
Mike Evans to fall short of his draft cost (Round 6)
Round 6 Mike Evans (WR – SF) Mike Evans could be a touchdown machine, but he is another aging player with significant injury concerns.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 37.3)
You're probably better off drafting Xavier Worthy at the end of your drafts, and leaving someone else choose to grab Rashee Rice inside the top 20 receivers.
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 27)
Malik Nabers is being drafted as the 11th wide receiver off the board, as well as a top-30 pick... We will be boring and take the floor from these players rather than the upside and "could be" of Nabers.
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 51.8)
it stands to reason that being the 22nd wide receiver that is going off the board is a bit too high given the role, and target share/usage
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 58.2)
Davante Adams is simply getting drafted entirely too early based on touchdowns recorded last season.
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 23.4)
London is being drafted amongst the top-10 receivers and a top-25 player overall. It's very difficult to envision the talented receiver returning that type of production with all that's surrounding the starting quarterback.
Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (top-15 consensus tight end)
But I'm afraid his decline will continue after he has failed to command the same type of volume over the last two seasons... Just say no.
Jake Ferguson to fall short of his draft cost (fringe TE1)
Ferguson is facing a major uphill battle to rise above TD-or-bust TE territory. He's being overvalued as a fringe TE1
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP of WR12 (30th overall))
Now, Rice has an ADP of WR12 (30th overall). I'm fleeing at that price.
Jayden Daniels to fall short of his draft cost (redraft superflex Sleeper ADP of 19.1 and is going off the board as the QB5)
With that out of the way, I'm selling Daniels in 2025... Should he suffer through another injury-shortened season or see his production dip, it would represent an all-time low for his value... it may be wise to get out while Daniels’ value is still sky-high.
Jayden DanielsWashington Commanders
Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (RB2 draft price)
Judkins should receive plenty of touches, but Cleveland's limitations could suppress his efficiency and touchdown production, making him a potential volume trap.
Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns
Jacory Croskey-Merritt to fall short of his draft cost (currently being selected as an RB3 in most formats)
Jacory Croskey-Merritt is currently being selected as an RB3 in most formats... My issue with Croskey-Merritt is his distinct lack of upside