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Colin Cowherd· Feb 7, 2026

Cowherd picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring Super Bowl, 24-20, citing Seattle's league-leading run defense and Drake Maye's poor record when throwing 35-plus passes. He also projects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick, going to the Raiders.

“I'm going to take the Seahawks to win close.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

3 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 90.5 out of 100, against 22.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas RaidersFeb 7, 2026

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    “Listen, you're gonna go to the Raiders. We can project that. I'm projecting you're going to go number one.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Super Bowl PicksSeattle SeahawksFeb 7, 2026

    Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    “So here is my Super Bowl pick, Seahawks versus Patriots... I'm going to take the Seahawks to win close.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Score PredictionsSeattle SeahawksFeb 7, 2026

    Seattle Seahawks 24 — Patriots 20

    “I think it's low scoring... twenty four to twenty Seattle”

    Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 16.73+54.7 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    54.7
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    71.43
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

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