Cowherd picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring Super Bowl, 24-20, citing Seattle's league-leading run defense and Drake Maye's poor record when throwing 35-plus passes. He also projects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick, going to the Raiders.

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Mock Draft PicksFeb 7, 2026

  “Listen, you're gonna go to the Raiders. We can project that. I'm projecting you're going to go number one.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Fernando Mendoza

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  1

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Super Bowl PicksFeb 7, 2026

  “So here is my Super Bowl pick, Seahawks versus Patriots... I'm going to take the Seahawks to win close.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored

  skill:

  100

  they picked:

  SEA

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  0

  champion:

  SEA

  runner up:

  NE

  naive pick:

  PHI

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Score PredictionsFeb 7, 2026

  “I think it's low scoring... twenty four to twenty Seattle”

  Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 16.73+54.7 skill
  How this was scored

  score:

  29-13

  skill:

  54.7

  they picked:

  SEA

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  71.43

  baseline:

  16.73

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual margin:

  16

  weeks left when called:

  0

  naive home margin:

  2.03

  predicted margin:

  4

  Think this is wrong?