Colin Cowherd · Apr 9, 2026
Cowherd delivered a mock draft of the first 15 picks based on what he says he's hearing from league sources, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and running through Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to Tampa Bay at No. 15.
“I'm going to give you the top fifteen draft picks where I think I have a chance to be at least reasonably accurate.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
15 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“number eleven, Well, defensive head coach, they need a lot but mansour Delaye the LSU corner ... I think Miami goes for a lockdown guy”
Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Mansoor Delane
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“number six. The best receiver in this draft is Carneal Tate and Cleveland's got an egregiously bad wide receiving corps”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Number ten, Caleb Downs, Ohio State ... Caleb Downs stays in state. He goes to the Bengals at ten”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“number seven. Well, Jaden Daniels needs protection. Laramie Tonzel meet Francis Mawiinoah Miami ... He goes seven to the Commanders.”
Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Francis Mauigoa
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Number two, I think the Jet take a big swing on Rvel Reese, who's one of the youngest prospects in the draft.”
Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Number one. Okay, that's the easy one. I'm going to go one for one. Fernando Mendoza ... the most obvious pick outside of Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“number five. I think the Giants get that. Maybe the cleanest player in the draft, sunny styles ... Giants take Sunny Styles”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with WAS
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Number fifty Buccaneers draft well safety from Toledo, Emmanuel McNeil. Warren, local kid played in Tampa.”
Scored 15.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 15.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 58
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 15.52
- predicted pick:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Number nine. See this seems obvious. Spencer Fino to tackle from Utah to Kansas City ... I think he goes nine to Kansas City Spencer Fane.”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Spencer Fano
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Number eight. Another Miami Hurricane goes eight, Ruben Bain. Listen, you could say the Saints have a lot of needs, but this kid lives in the backfield.”
Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Number fourteen ravens Lamar Jackson last year pressured on twenty six percent of his throw career high. They go get Monroe Freeling, Georgia. Tackle”
Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Monroe Freeling
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 19
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Number three. So Arizona, seeing that Bailey is now available David Bailey Texas Tech, they will then draft David Bailey because they have a pass rush issue.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“If they get Bailey number four, then I think the Titans will take Jeremiah Love ... He goes four to the Tennessee Titans”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Number thirty McKay lemon wide receiver USC ... McKay lemon walks in day one. He'll figure the playbook out in three practices.”
Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13
- Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Number twelve. I think the Cowboys ... They get Jermad McCoy from Tennessee.”
Scored 2.12 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.13
- player:
- Jermod McCoy
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 2.12
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 101
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 2.12
- predicted pick:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.13