Dan Pizzuta
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
97.78% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Graded calls · 14
“Gardner Minshew broke his collarbone and will be out for the rest of the season, putting Aidan O’Connell back in as the starter.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- LV
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Aidan O'Connell
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.33
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 6
“Week 13 Quarterback Rankings — 1. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens ... 32. Mac Jones, Jacksonville Jaguars”
Scored 89.52a naive guess scored 50+52.56 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 52.56
- placed:
- 32
- season:
- 2024
- players:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 89.52
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 32: 89.52
- difficulty:
- 1.33
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 6
“With Dak Prescott out for at least four weeks on injured reserve, Cooper Rush is in line to start instead of Trey Lance.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-12.5 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- DAL
- skill:
- -12.5
- player:
- Cooper Rush
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 9
“Week 10 Quarterback Rankings: 1. Lamar Jackson ... 32. Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers”
Scored 84.22a naive guess scored 50+51.33 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 51.33
- placed:
- 32
- season:
- 2024
- players:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.22
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 32: 84.22
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 9
“Malik Willis goes to the bottom, as he's expected to get the start for Jordan Love.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Malik Willis
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 3
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 17
“Justin Fields started for Russell Wilson in the opener, and the Steelers are preparing to start him again in Week 2 as Wilson recovers from a calf injury.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- PIT
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Justin Fields
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 17
“Right now, Jacoby Brissett is ranked, and Drake Maye is not. ... That's what the Patriots are hoping for until Drake Maye is ready to take over. ... he's a perfect bridge quarterback for the early part of the year.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NE
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Jacoby Brissett
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“NFL Week 1 QB Rankings — 1. Patrick Mahomes ... 32. Bo Nix, Denver Broncos”
Scored 64.92a naive guess scored 50+29.84 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 29.84
- placed:
- 32
- season:
- 2024
- players:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 64.92
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 32: 64.92
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“The Carolina Panthers will make the playoffs ... this team could sneak a wild card berth in a weaker NFC.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CAR
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2022
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Maxx Crosby leads the league in sacks”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Maxx Crosby
- season:
- 2022
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- DE
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 72
- actual finish:
- 54
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
“Desmond Ridder outplays and outstarts Kenny Pickett ... The Falcons are going to be a much worse team overall, which would give a clearer path for Ridder starts.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- ATL
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Desmond Ridder
- season:
- 2022
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Trey Lance Finishes as a Top 10 QB ... we'll call it top-10 in EPA per dropback”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Trey Lance
- season:
- 2022
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 39
- actual finish:
- 62
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 10
“DK Metcalf Finishes In the Top 10 For Receiving Yards”
Scored 25a naive guess scored 25+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- DK Metcalf
- season:
- 2022
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 25
- baseline:
- 25
- position:
- WR
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 10
- actual finish:
- 19
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 10
“Chiefs win the Super Bowl”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2022
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- KC
- runner up:
- PHI
- naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18