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Jake Ciely is a fantasy football analyst at FantasyPros and a guest on The Herd with Colin Cowherd. His work spans draft strategy, rookie evaluations, and positional rankings, with a particular focus on identifying value picks and sleepers across the NFL landscape.
Writes at The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
Every take from Jake Ciely, including the ones still waiting →
Is Jake Ciely accurate? Across 40 graded calls in 9 articles, Jake Ciely scores 60.72% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -1.56, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
97.52% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Isaiah Likely to be 1st on the depth chart
“Because Isaiah Likely is going to a team where he's going to be the lead option... he's going to go to a team because he's a free agent. Somebody's going to pay through the nose for him”
“I have Alan Lamar May Daniels as my top four... So he's at six [Burrow]... you've got him at ten [Herbert]... c J. Stroud is at ECR of twenty but you've got him at twenty five... JKM at twenty six [Darnold]... You have n't at seventeen [Daniel Jones]”
“Dalton Kinkaid is number nine on this list, but jake them outside of the top twelve at sixteen... Jake, you've got him at tight end thirteen [Likely]”
Cam Skattebo to be 1st on the depth chart
“He will be the lead Joe... and will be the lead next year.”
Kyren Williams to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
“I am one hundred percent in agreement that Kyle Williams still deserves to be a top ten running back until further notice.”
“So I have Bejeon and Gibbs, Tier, McCaffrey, Taylor, a Chan, Cook, Hampton, Berkley, Henry... ECR is sixteen, but you have him at ten [Kyren]... you have him a little lower. You have an eleven [Jeanty]... you've got at RB twelve [Chase Brown]... Jake, you've got him a twenty six [Skattebo]... you've got him at thirty three [Dowdle]... you have Tony Pollard here at thirty eight... Chewba Hubbard ECR thirty two. You've got him all the way forty two... he's ECR sixty one, but you've got him at fifty five [Sean Tucker]”
Romeo Doubs to move to New Orleans Saints
“Romeo Dobbs and he takers Jake for him. As Saints they need him, they need a wide receiver.”
“I actually go Bjon Robinson, and then my next three are all wide receivers with Puka Nakua, Jackson Smith and Jigba and Jamar Chase... so all four of this are running backs at Jamiir Gibbs... push him down to six... Jonathan Taylor is so quickly everybody forgot... a chan... So James Cook is at number nine for me... And then I come back to wide receiver Rashi Rice and mon Ron Saint. Brown is my double tap here... and then I finished it out with a Marion Hampton.”
Romeo Doubs to be 2nd on the depth chart
“the one and two one answer was clear Dobbs, and now we have the elimination of read on top of it, so I think it just makes it even clear”
Blake Corum to be 2nd on the depth chart
“if something happens to Karen Williams, it is one hundred percent clear that Korum's the backup plan, not Darko's hunter”
Cedric Tillman to be 1st on the depth chart
“he's running as the one and the week one. Usage was very good too.”
Troy Franklin to be 2nd on the depth chart
“He is clearly, by far way ahead of Mims. He is the one and the two with Sutton.”
Kenneth Walker III to finish top 18 at his position, by fantasy points
“On Kenneth Walker being the bell cow... I moved them all the way down to RB eighteen.”
Breece Hall to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points
“So I had whole twenty two preseason, I'd probably move him up two spots... so that would pretty much be like right around twenty”
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Chiefs
“I just don't know that the Eagles just don't gob smack them again. I just think the Eagles match up too well with the Chiefs... position by a position. I'm just gonna take the Eagles”
Cedric Tillman to be 2nd on the depth chart
“even if he's just averaging six seven targets per game, for somebody that's going super late in draft, that can be the number two”
Romeo Doubs to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty four)
“This feels like the most lay up of mine. I'm gonna go with Roman Duns... how are you not excited for the number two, who, by the way, has a world where he might be the most valuable Bears wide receiver”
Cedric Tillman to outplay his draft cost (going super late in draft)
“I'm gonna go to Cedric Tillman... for somebody that's going super late in draft, that can be the number two”
Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (those mid rounds)
“So I think there's a lot of appeal for Braylon Allen those mid rounds.”
Bryce Young to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
“we might be looking at Bryce Young by the end of the year as a fringe QB one”
Chris Rodriguez Jr. to be 3rd on the depth chart
“Rodriguez is a good talent. I would put him third on this depth chart.”
Matthew Golden to be 1st on the depth chart
“we have one clear option, Matthew Golden is clearly going to be the one”
Marvin Mims Jr. to be 2nd on the depth chart
“he's clearly been the number two. He's been run out there as the number two... the two that we know right now is actually Marvin Mims”
Caleb Williams to record 4,000 passing yards
“Williams is going to be the first quarterback in Bear's history to throw for four thousand yards and thirty plus touchdowns.”
Tucker Kraft to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
“Do you think Craft can rise above that and have this kind of like top five ish tight end season. Speaker 3: I do”
Caleb Williams to record 30 passing tds
“Williams is going to be the first quarterback in Bear's history to throw for four thousand yards and thirty plus touchdowns.”
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver forty two in ADP)
“he took Ricky pearsoll just I mean, I just knew it... to be fair, like I actually had him as my number one... I cannot agree more on Ricky Piersel.”
Bryce Young to outplay his draft cost (he's outside the top twenty)
“My number five. I'll go to quarterback first. I'm gonna go to Bryce Young... we might be looking at Bryce Young by the end of the year as a fringe QB one and he's outside the top twenty”
Marvin Mims Jr. to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver fifty eight in ECR)
“It's Marvin Mims... now we're talking about Marvin Mims clearly is the number two and potentially having one hundred plus targets”
Trey Benson to be 2nd on the depth chart
“just ignore the fact that he's still the clear number two behind James Connor, who has an injury history”
Rashod Bateman to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
“Rashad Bateman? What is Rashad Bateman? Ever? Like you hope you get a touchdown”
Justice Hill to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
“they were drafted in these last three rounds. Justice Hill Overshad Bateman. Where is the upside?... he is going to be part of some time share”
Romeo Doubs to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
“another one that went in the arrange... Is Romeo Dobbs. Like, I'm sorry, Romeo Dobbs, but like eight point five, eight point two of the last two years”
Trey Benson to outplay his draft cost (at a discount)
“And now he's coming at a discount on top of it... You should be in on him this year”
Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (RB thirteen)
“But at RB thirteen, I have him more as a back end RB two just because I think there's a lot of bust potential with this.”
Ashton Jeanty to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
“I think that he is more of a back end RB one for me than mid first round, where like a lot of people want to take him”
Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (a light late round flier)
“that's why bring up Brishard Smith as a light late round flier and a lot of these shows”
Justin Fields to record 8 rushing tds
“Justin Fields is going to if he plays a full season, he's going to run for seven eight nine touchdowns”
Christian McCaffrey to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points
“I have Christian McCaffrey at RB four. I've had him at RB four. I'm going to keep him at RB four.”
Breece Hall to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points
“at RB thirteen, I have him more as a back end RB two”