Jake Ciely· Sep 13, 2025
Seeley has dropped Kenneth Walker to RB18 rest-of-season, keeps Breece Hall around RB20 and argues Travis Etienne belongs back in RB2 territory or better, views Egbuka as only a back-end WR2 to sell high on, and thinks Philadelphia matches up too well with Kansas City.
“I moved them all the way down to RB eighteen.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 4 positional finishes and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 86.1 out of 100, against 44.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Positional FinishesBreece HallNew York JetsSep 13, 2025
Breece Hall to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points
“So I had whole twenty two preseason, I'd probably move him up two spots... so that would pretty much be like right around twenty”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 100-32.33 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -32.33
- player:
- Breece Hall
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 18
- actual finish:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- predicted finish:
- 20
Kenneth Walker III to finish top 18 at his position, by fantasy points
“On Kenneth Walker being the bell cow... I moved them all the way down to RB eighteen.”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 33.33+80.83 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 80.83
- player:
- Kenneth Walker III
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 33.33
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 29
- actual finish:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- predicted finish:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesSep 13, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Chiefs
“I just don't know that the Eagles just don't gob smack them again. I just think the Eagles match up too well with the Chiefs... position by a position. I'm just gonna take the Eagles”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 194
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
Tetairoa McMillan to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points
“if you can get wide receiver one value, I wouldn't put him in the wide receiver one conversation... So like still back end wide receiver two for me?”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
Travis Etienne to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points
“I think you can argue ETN should jump into it at least back in RB two value, if not even a little bit higher.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
What others said about the same people
- Joel CorryTrade and Signing Calls · Baker MayfieldMiss · 0The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause.
- Rich EisenTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100Eisen delivered his SoFi-presented power rankings of the 2026 NFL draftees most likely to live up to their billing, counting down from Mekhi Lemmon at No. 10 to Jeremiah Love at No. 1. He also predicted the Eagles will trade A.J. Brown and picked three NFC South teams to go over their win totals.
- Danny ParkinsTrade and Signing Calls · Trey HendricksonMiss · 0Parkins predicts Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 overall to the Raiders, Trey Hendrickson signs in Tampa, Michael Penix Jr. wins Atlanta's QB competition, Jared Wilson takes over at center in New England, Mike Evans reaches 1,000 yards, and the Bears lose Byard and Brisker.
- Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks · Cashius HowellMiss · 32Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30.
- Gregg RosenthalTrade and Signing Calls · Breece HallMiss · 0Rosenthal calls the Chiefs the No. 1 favorite and says they are going to the Super Bowl. He also expects several players to be moved before the trade deadline, most confidently David Njoku, and views Riq Woolen and Breece Hall as likely trade pieces.
- Nick ShookTrade and Signing Calls · Breece HallMiss · 0Shook names Breece Hall, Jakobi Meyers and David Njoku as trade candidates, suggesting Hall could land with the Chargers and that the Raiders will move Meyers as sellers.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarPositional Finishes · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.
- Chris BrockmanPositional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaHit · 100Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.
- Ryan TracyPositional Finishes · Bryan CookMiss · 0Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.
- Pat GustavsonPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.
- JP AcostaPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Rich EisenPositional Finishes · George PickensHit · 100Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.