John Breech· Aug 19, 2026

An unsigned CBS Sports piece predicts the week each NFL team will suffer its first loss, effectively picking winners in each of those games, and names the Ravens as the league's final undefeated team after a 7-0 start.

“So there you have it, the Ravens will be the final undefeated team, but that's not necessarily a good thing”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

30 checkable claims — 30 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

15 of 30 have settled so far, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 60 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

30 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Game Outcome Picks Kansas City ChiefsAug 19, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to win
“Broncos (at Chiefs). ... it's hard to pick against a Chiefs team that will be opening the season at home in primetime.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
KC
score:
10-31
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Philadelphia EaglesAug 19, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles to win
“Commanders (at Eagles). ... he always has his team ready to play in the opener and this year should be no exception.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
PHI
score:
22-24
skill:
0
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Dallas CowboysAug 19, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Giants (vs. Cowboys). ... The Cowboys are returning every starter on their offense and that should put them in a spot to steal this one in a shootout.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
won:
NYG
score:
20-28
skill:
-200
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NYG
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles ChargersAug 19, 2026
Los Angeles Chargers to win
“Cardinals (at Chargers). Jim Harbaugh has NEVER lost an NFL opener in his career ... and I don't see that streak ending here.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
ARI
score:
26-14
skill:
0
they picked:
LAC
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAC
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Cincinnati BengalsAug 19, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to win
“Buccaneers (at Bengals). ... That's not a good combination for the Bucs, who will be facing a desperate Bengals team that's going into a make-or-break season.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
CIN
score:
27-33
skill:
0
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
CIN
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Baltimore RavensAug 19, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to win
“Colts (vs. Ravens). ... it's hard to imagine the Colts pulling this off if they're not at 100%.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
BAL
score:
41-23
skill:
200
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
IND
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Las Vegas RaidersAug 19, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders to win
“Dolphins (at Raiders). ... it's hard to field a competitive team when more than half of your salary cap is being eaten up by players who aren't even on the team.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
LV
score:
13-27
skill:
0
they picked:
LV
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
LV
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Detroit LionsAug 19, 2026
Detroit Lions to win
“Saints (at Lions). ... it's hard to see the Saints keeping up.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
DET
score:
30-31
skill:
0
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Pittsburgh SteelersAug 19, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
“Falcons (at Steelers). ... but that won't be enough to help Atlanta pull off the upset.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
13-20
skill:
0
they picked:
PIT
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PIT
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Tennessee TitansAug 19, 2026
Tennessee Titans to win
“Jets (at Titans). ... then the Titans should be able to pull off the upset.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NYJ
score:
23-10
skill:
0
they picked:
TEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TEN
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Green Bay PackersAug 19, 2026
Green Bay Packers to win
“Vikings (vs. Packers). ... The Vikings new quarterback is trying to learn a new offense ... This will be one of those hiccups.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
won:
MIN
score:
22-39
skill:
-200
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
MIN
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Buffalo BillsAug 19, 2026
Buffalo Bills to win
“Texans (vs. Bills). ... that will be enough to put Buffalo just barely over the top in this AFC showdown.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
36-31
skill:
200
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Chicago BearsAug 19, 2026
Chicago Bears to win
“Panthers (vs. Bears). The Panthers will be missing both of their starting tackles ... it's hard to win games in the NFL when you're missing both of your starting tackles.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
CHI
score:
59-37
skill:
200
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
CAR
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles RamsAug 19, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to win
“49ers (vs. Rams). ... for that reason alone, I like the Rams. I also like the Rams because I think they have a better roster.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SF
score:
27-7
skill:
0
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Seattle SeahawksAug 19, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to win
“Patriots (at Seahawks). ... This game might turn into an even bigger blowout with the Seahawks playing at home.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
10-13
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Buffalo BillsAug 19, 2026
Buffalo Bills to win
“Lions (at Bills). ... it's almost impossible to see the Bills losing the first game at their new stadium.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Seattle SeahawksAug 19, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to win
“Chiefs (at Seahawks). ... they give us a Super Bowl-worthy show here with the Seahawks coming out on top.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Denver BroncosAug 19, 2026
Denver Broncos to win
“Seahawks (at Broncos). If the Seahawks are going to slip up early in the season, this feels like the most likely spot.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Denver BroncosAug 19, 2026
Denver Broncos to win
“Rams (at Broncos). ... this feels like the spot where we'll see Sean McVay's team lose its first game.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Green Bay PackersAug 19, 2026
Green Bay Packers to win
“Bears (at Packers). ... There will be no meltdown here and the Packers will get the win at Lambeau.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New England PatriotsAug 19, 2026
New England Patriots to win
“Steelers (at Patriots). ... this feels like a game New England should win.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles RamsAug 19, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to win
“Bills (at Rams). ... the Rams will be waiting in the wings to end Buffalo's undefeated run.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Philadelphia EaglesAug 19, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles to win
“Titans (vs. Eagles). In what comes as a surprise to no one, the Titans run at an undefeated season comes to an end in Week 2.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Dallas CowboysAug 19, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Packers (vs. Cowboys). ... that could open the door for the Dallas offense to have a big night.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Buffalo BillsAug 19, 2026
Buffalo Bills to win
“Ravens (at Bills). ... they finally face a stiff test in Week 8 when they face the Bills on the road and they come up empty”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Buffalo BillsAug 19, 2026
Buffalo Bills to win
“Chargers (at Bills). The Chargers have to fly across the country to face a Bills team that will be coming into this game on 10 days of rest...”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles ChargersAug 19, 2026
Los Angeles Chargers to win
“Raiders (at Chargers). This is a divisional game on the road, which isn't a good combination for a Raiders team...”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Baltimore RavensAug 19, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to win
“Cowboys (vs. Ravens in Brazil). ... it's still hard to imagine Dallas slowing down Lamar Jackson and the Ravens' offense.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Houston TexansAug 19, 2026
Houston Texans to win
“Bengals (at Texans). ... if your offense tends to get off to a slow start, the Texans' defense is not the unit you want to be facing.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Chicago BearsAug 19, 2026
Chicago Bears to win
“Eagles (at Bears). ... Ben Johnson thoroughly outcoached Nick Sirianni in that game and it wouldn't be surprising if we see that happen again here.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Drew LockMiss · 0
In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona.
Mike MoraitisTrade and Signing Calls · DaRon BlandHit · 100
Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland.
Emmett MatasovskyDepth Chart Calls · Christian IzienMiss · 0
Matasovsky says Dobbs is currently leading the backup quarterback race and suggests Christian Izien may be pressed into a starting safety role in Week 1 while Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph rehab.
Mike MoraitisDepth Chart Calls · Ozzy TrapiloMiss · 0
Moraitis writes that although Braxton Jones has looked like the favorite, Ozzy Trapilo is likely to take over as the Bears' starting left tackle once he's healthy enough to play.
Pete MartuneacDepth Chart Calls · Ozzy TrapiloMiss · 0
After Trapilo's activation from the PUP list roughly seven months after rupturing his patellar tendon, Martuneac says the Bears' left tackle competition is over and Trapilo will be starting at left tackle early in the 2026 season, even if not by Week 1.
Jeff KerrDepth Chart Calls · Michael CarterMiss · 0
Kerr says several Eagles have raised their stock in camp: Darius Cooper is emerging as the team's WR4, Drew Kendall is the No. 3 interior lineman/top backup at guard and center, Willie Lampkin is in prime position to make the 53-man roster, and Michael Carter is a roster lock who could start at safety in Week 1.

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

David HarrisonGame Outcome Picks · Washington CommandersMiss · 0
Harrison predicts the Commanders will upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in Week 1 by a score of 27-24, driven by Jayden Daniels and timely defensive pressure. He also projects the active interior offensive line group and expects a good defensive day would hold Saquon Barkley to around 85-90 grinding yards.
Chad MillmanGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100
Chad Millman said he had taken money-line positions on several Week 1 underdogs — the Texans outright over the Bills, the Giants outright over Dallas (in a money-line underdog parlay), and Miami outright at Las Vegas — and that the show's survivor pick was the Steelers to win.
Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Minnesota VikingsHit · 100
Huber forecasts the Packers starting 3-4 through seven games — losing at Minnesota and Tampa Bay, beating the Jets and Falcons, losing to the Bears — and finishing the season with about eight wins.
Jordan DajaniGame Outcome Picks · Minnesota VikingsHit · 100
Dajani expects the Steelers to comfortably beat the Falcons in Week 1, arguing Atlanta's quarterback situation under Tua Tagovailoa is a mess; he also picks the Vikings to beat the Packers in a low-scoring game.
Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100
Sullivan takes the Jaguars to beat the Browns, doubting Deshaun Watson, and takes the Eagles over the Commanders at home.
Judah FortgangGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0
PFF's divisional-round same-game parlay picks: Tampa Bay beats Cincinnati with Cade Otton exploiting the Bengals' linebackers, Las Vegas beats Miami behind Kirk Cousins attacking a depleted Dolphins secondary, and Houston beats Buffalo with C.J. Stroud throwing effectively and Jaylin Noel benefiting from the slot matchup.

Who this take is about

The games in this take

30 checkable claims in this take

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

Discussed alongside these