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John Breech· Sep 14, 2026

In the Pick Six newsletter, Breech picks the Broncos to upset the Chiefs on Monday night, 23-21.

“John Breech's pick: Broncos 23-21 over Chiefs”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 4.8 out of 100, against 51.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Score PredictionsDenver BroncosSep 14, 2026

    Denver Broncos 23 — Chiefs 21

    “John Breech's pick: Broncos 23-21 over Chiefs”

    Miss · 5Scored 4.76a naive guess scored 51.93-94.35 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-31
    skill:
    -94.35
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    4.76
    baseline:
    51.93
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    0.81
    predicted margin:
    2

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