John Breech· Sep 8, 2026

Breech makes score picks for every Week 1 game of the 2026 season, and references his season preview in which he has the Bills winning the AFC East and the Texans winning the AFC South, both at 11-6.

“I think Seattle sends a message to the rest of the NFL with a double-digit win over a good Patriots team.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

20 checkable claims — 16 score predictions, 2 division winners and 2 season win totals — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 17 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

16 of 20 have settled so far, averaging 56.4 out of 100, against 52.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Where this call stands in the room

Houston Texans · 2026 season · wins

John Breech — 11 winsthe room — 3 calls from 3 punditsmedian 11 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

20 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Score Predictions Denver BroncosSep 8, 2026
Denver Broncos 23 — Chiefs 21
“THE PICK: Broncos 23-21 over Chiefs”
Miss · 5Scored 4.76a naive guess scored 51.93-94.35 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-31
skill:
-94.35
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
4.76
baseline:
51.93
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
0.81
predicted margin:
2
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Philadelphia EaglesSep 8, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Commanders 21
“Eagles 27-21 over Commanders”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 93.97-6.98 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-24
skill:
-6.98
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
6
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Dallas CowboysSep 8, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 30 — Giants 23
“Cowboys 30-23 over Giants”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 79.68-64.13 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-28
skill:
-64.13
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
79.68
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Baltimore RavensSep 8, 2026
Baltimore Ravens 27 — Colts 20
“Ravens 27-20 over Colts”
Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 5.87+135.87 skill
How this was scored
score:
41-23
skill:
135.87
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
73.81
baseline:
5.87
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
18
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Cincinnati BengalsSep 8, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 23 — Buccaneers 16
“Bengals 23-16 over Buccaneers”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 84.44+26.35 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-33
skill:
26.35
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
84.44
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Detroit LionsSep 8, 2026
Detroit Lions 30 — Saints 20
“Lions 30-20 over Saints”
Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 96.35-35.56 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-31
skill:
-35.56
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
78.57
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
1
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
10
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Tennessee TitansSep 8, 2026
Tennessee Titans 16 — Jets 13
“Titans 16-13 over Jets”
Miss · 26Scored 26.19a naive guess scored 17.78+16.83 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-10
skill:
16.83
they picked:
TEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
26.19
baseline:
17.78
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
13
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Green Bay PackersSep 8, 2026
Green Bay Packers 22 — Vikings 19
“Packers 22-19 over Vikings”
Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 58.25-83.17 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-39
skill:
-83.17
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
16.67
baseline:
58.25
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Houston TexansSep 8, 2026
Houston Texans 20 — Bills 19
“THE PICK: Texans 20-19 over Bills”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 36.83+7.3 skill
How this was scored
score:
36-31
skill:
7.3
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
36.83
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
1
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Las Vegas RaidersSep 8, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders 20 — Dolphins 13
“THE PICK: Raiders 20-13 over Dolphins”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 65.4+35.87 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-27
skill:
35.87
they picked:
LV
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
65.4
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Chicago BearsSep 8, 2026
Chicago Bears 24 — Panthers 21
“Bears 24-21 over Panthers”
Close · 55Scored 54.76a naive guess scored 0+109.52 skill
How this was scored
score:
59-37
skill:
109.52
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
54.76
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
22
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Jacksonville JaguarsSep 8, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 19 — Browns 16
“Jaguars 19-16 over Browns”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-34
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Pittsburgh SteelersSep 8, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers 23 — Falcons 20
“Steelers 23-20 over Falcons”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 82.06+16.83 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-20
skill:
16.83
they picked:
PIT
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
82.06
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Los Angeles ChargersSep 8, 2026
Los Angeles Chargers 31 — Cardinals 21
“Chargers 31-21 over Cardinals”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 20.16+50.16 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-14
skill:
50.16
they picked:
LAC
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
20.16
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-0.53
predicted margin:
10
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Los Angeles RamsSep 8, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 24 — 49ers 17
“THE PICK: Rams 24-17 over 49ers”
Miss · 19Scored 19.05a naive guess scored 0+38.1 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-7
skill:
38.1
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
19.05
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
20
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
-8.5
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Seattle SeahawksSep 8, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 27 — Patriots 17
“THE PICK: Seahawks 27-17 over Patriots”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 100-33.33 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-13
skill:
-33.33
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
3
predicted margin:
10
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Houston TexansSep 8, 2026
Houston Texans to win the division
“I have the Texans winning the AFC South”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Houston TexansSep 8, 2026
Houston Texans to finish with 11 wins
“I have both of them finishing 11-6”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Buffalo BillsSep 8, 2026
Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins
“I have both of them finishing 11-6”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Buffalo BillsSep 8, 2026
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“I have the Bills winning the AFC East”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Drew LockMiss · 0
In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona.
Mike MoraitisTrade and Signing Calls · DaRon BlandHit · 100
Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland.
John ShipleyRoster Spot Calls · Jack KiserMiss · 0
Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there.
Emmett MatasovskyDepth Chart Calls · Christian IzienMiss · 0
Matasovsky says Dobbs is currently leading the backup quarterback race and suggests Christian Izien may be pressed into a starting safety role in Week 1 while Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph rehab.
Jared DubinDepth Chart Calls · Daniel FaaleleMiss · 0
Dubin grades the Faalele trade, predicting Faalele has a decent chance to be Jacksonville's Week 1 starting right guard in competition with Wyatt Milum, and that Evan Neal's odds of making the Giants' 53-man roster improved while Jon Runyan and Francis Mauigoa hold the Giants' starting guard jobs.
Mike MoraitisDepth Chart Calls · Ozzy TrapiloMiss · 0
Moraitis writes that although Braxton Jones has looked like the favorite, Ozzy Trapilo is likely to take over as the Bears' starting left tackle once he's healthy enough to play.

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsClose · 57
Prisco is the lone expert cited picking Kansas City, 20-17 over Denver.
Mike FlorioScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsClose · 57
Florio gives score predictions for every Week 1 game of the 2026 NFL season, including an opening-night upset by the Patriots in Seattle and narrow home wins for the Giants and Chiefs.
Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsClose · 57
An unsigned CBS Sports Week 1 picks column predicts final scores for all 16 games, including a Seahawks rout of the Patriots in the Super Bowl rematch and a late Chiefs win over Denver in Patrick Mahomes' return.
David HarrisonScore Predictions · Washington CommandersClose · 48
Harrison predicts the Commanders will upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in Week 1 by a score of 27-24, driven by Jayden Daniels and timely defensive pressure. He also projects the active interior offensive line group and expects a good defensive day would hold Saquon Barkley to around 85-90 grinding yards.
Bill HuberScore Predictions · Minnesota VikingsClose · 67
Huber picks the Vikings to beat the Packers 34-31 in the season opener, forecasts Matthew Golden to lead Green Bay in catches, Christian Watson to top 1,000 receiving yards, Tucker Kraft to lead in touchdowns and MarShawn Lloyd to lead the team in rushing, with Micah Parsons reaching at least eight sacks. He picks Matthew Stafford for MVP, the Bears to win the NFC North, the Rams to win the Super Bowl, and the Packers to go 8-9.
Carter BahnsScore Predictions · Minnesota VikingsClose · 76
In an unsigned Week 1 preview, CBS Sports picks the Vikings to beat the Packers 27-20 at home, arguing Green Bay's injuries and thin backfield make it a candidate to start slowly. It also lays out Minnesota's quarterback depth chart with Kyler Murray starting ahead of Carson Wentz and J.J. McCarthy, and MarShawn Lloyd leading Green Bay's backfield.