Nate Tice
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Graded calls · 18
“I think the old man ends up winning Joe Blackout. I think he's on that roster to win the job... I really do think that the math game of all this ends up with Flacco as a starter”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Joe Flacco
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I think this guy has all pro potential, and I really will stand on that. Not this year”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- made:
- false
- naive:
- he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- selection:
- all_pro_first_team
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I think that's where you see the rookie quarterback get dropped in... So I predict by Thanksgiving that we see Jackson Dart.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NYG
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Jaxson Dart
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“number one pick Titans going with Cam Woord quarterback”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“So that's why I'm going to go with Mason Graham. Okay, defensive tackle. (Jaguars at No. 5)”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Mason Graham
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“I am having Mike Green go to the Falcons”
Scored 14.87 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Mike Green
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 14.87
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 59
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 14.87
- predicted pick:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“I'm gonna go savone ravel Wow, okay, yes, Corner East Carolina (Steelers at 21)”
Scored 9.23 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Shavon Revel Jr.
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 9.23
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 76
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 9.23
- predicted pick:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“Malachi Stark's safety from Georgia, who's kind of dropped a little bit, but I think this is the start of his range (Dolphins)”
Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Malaki Starks
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 54.53
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 27
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 54.53
- predicted pick:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“I am going to go Josh Simmons over Banks... yeah, Simmons, Josh Simmons, Ohio State (Chiefs)”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Josh Simmons
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 32
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 31
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“But I'm gonna go I'm gonna duel Carter, who I think is a very good prospect... just skim him on this roster (Giants at No. 3)”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Abdul Carter
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“That's where I'm going with Donovan. Is a rockup from Boston College (Commanders)”
Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Donovan Ezeiruaku
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 52.21
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 44
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 52.21
- predicted pick:
- 29
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“I'm gonna go Donovan Jackson Ohio State (Ravens)”
Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Donovan Jackson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 24
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 27
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“Josh Connerly here from Oregon offensive tackle... But that is with the Texans”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Josh Conerly Jr.
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 29
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 25
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“I'm going to go with Derek Harmon here from Oregon (Bengals)”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Derrick Harmon
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 21
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“I'm gonna go Coulson Love one woow, Michigan... So I'm gonna go call some level in here and the Jets”
Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Colston Loveland
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“I'm gonna go Kenneth Grant, oh Michigan... Kenneth Grant Packers”
Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Kenneth Grant
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 64.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 64.84
- predicted pick:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“I'm gonna go with Schamar Stewart from Texas A and m Okay (Buccaneers)”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Shemar Stewart
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 17
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 19
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96
“Actually I'm gonna go with Mikel Williams. Actually here this is a little rich (49ers at No. 11)”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.96
- player:
- Mykel Williams
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 86.96