Nate Tice · Apr 8, 2025

In a first-round mock draft on NFL Daily, Tice made the odd-numbered picks, starting with Cam Ward to the Titans at No. 1 and running through Josh Simmons to the Chiefs at 31. He also pegged Grey Zabel as a back-half-of-round-one talent.

“Number one pick Titans going with Cam Woord quarterback.”

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

17 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“I am having Mike Green go to the Falcons”
Scored 14.87 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Mike Green
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
14.87
baseline:
50
actual pick:
59
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
14.87
predicted pick:
15
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“I'm going to go with Derek Harmon here from Oregon (Bengals)”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Derrick Harmon
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
21
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“I'm gonna go with Schamar Stewart from Texas A and m Okay (Buccaneers)”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Shemar Stewart
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
17
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“I'm gonna go savone ravel Wow, okay, yes, Corner East Carolina (Steelers at 21)”
Scored 9.23 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Shavon Revel Jr.
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
9.23
baseline:
50
actual pick:
76
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
9.23
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“I'm gonna go Kenneth Grant, oh Michigan... Kenneth Grant Packers”
Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Kenneth Grant
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“Josh Connerly here from Oregon offensive tackle... But that is with the Texans”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Josh Conerly Jr.
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
29
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
25
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“I'm gonna go Donovan Jackson Ohio State (Ravens)”
Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Donovan Jackson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
24
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
27
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“That's where I'm going with Donovan. Is a rockup from Boston College (Commanders)”
Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Donovan Ezeiruaku
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
52.21
baseline:
50
actual pick:
44
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
52.21
predicted pick:
29
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“So that's why I'm going to go with Mason Graham. Okay, defensive tackle. (Jaguars at No. 5)”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Mason Graham
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“But I'm gonna go I'm gonna duel Carter, who I think is a very good prospect... just skim him on this roster (Giants at No. 3)”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Abdul Carter
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“number one pick Titans going with Cam Woord quarterback”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“I am going to go Josh Simmons over Banks... yeah, Simmons, Josh Simmons, Ohio State (Chiefs)”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Josh Simmons
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
32
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“Malachi Stark's safety from Georgia, who's kind of dropped a little bit, but I think this is the start of his range (Dolphins)”
Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Malaki Starks
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
54.53
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
54.53
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“Actually I'm gonna go with Mikel Williams. Actually here this is a little rich (49ers at No. 11)”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Mykel Williams
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“I'm gonna go Coulson Love one woow, Michigan... So I'm gonna go call some level in here and the Jets”
Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.96 against a shuffle’s 50+36.96 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.96
player:
Colston Loveland
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“Well, I'm gonna go with Memboo because that's where I was kind of leaning anyways (Saints at No. 9)”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 8, 2025
“I think he's an eighteen to thirty type player, you know, or just say back half of this first round”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?