Nate Tice· Feb 28, 2025
Tice gave draft projections for the tight end, receiver, offensive line and running back classes: Colston Loveland in the 18-24 range, Tyler Warren around top 15, Will Campbell as his top offensive lineman, Luther Burden as a late first/early second, Xavier Restrepo as a third-rounder, Emeka Egbuka as an NFL No. 2 receiver, and Devin Neal as a Round 2 back.
“That being top ten might be a little rich, I might say more as top fifteen, but still that's splitting hairs because he is that kind of talent.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
7 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks, 1 depth chart call and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 75 out of 100, against 39.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
7 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksXavier RestrepoMiami DolphinsFeb 28, 2025
Xavier Restrepo to be picked “like a third rounder” (picks 65–102)
“He's a slot only guy, but he'll probably be a number three, but I like him as like a third rounder.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Xavier Restrepo
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; later signed with TEN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- like a third rounder (picks 65–102)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksLuther Burden IIIFeb 28, 2025
Luther Burden III to be picked “late first rounder, maybe sneak in early second type” (picks 1–64)
“especially I've seen him more as a late first rounder, maybe sneak in early second type”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Luther Burden III
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 39
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- late first rounder, maybe sneak in early second type (picks 1–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksTyler WarrenFeb 28, 2025
Tyler Warren to be picked “more as top fifteen” (picks 1–15)
“That being top ten might be a little rich, I might say more as top fifteen”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Tyler Warren
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- more as top fifteen (picks 1–15)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Position Order CallsWill CampbellFeb 28, 2025
Will Campbell to be 1st offensive lineman off the board
“But for it it's the context of he's my old lineman one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 8.33+91.67 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- naming one of the 41 at random averages 8.33
- skill:
- 91.67
- player:
- Will Campbell
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- offensive lineman
- class size:
- 41
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksColston LovelandFeb 28, 2025
Colston Loveland to be picked “maybe in that eighteen to twenty four range”
“I look at you more in the twenties, and that's where I kind of I've loved one. Maybe in that eighteen to twenty four range.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsEmeka EgbukaFeb 28, 2025
Emeka Egbuka to be 2nd on the depth chart
“but he Abuka just he's a two. He's like a number two receiver, that is what he is.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksDevin NealFeb 28, 2025
Devin Neal to be picked “round two guy”
“Neal is like a round I might go round two guy with him”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Nick ShookPosition Order Calls · Olaivavega IoaneMiss · 35Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Tom StrachanTrade and Signing Calls · Romeo DoubsMiss · 0Tom Strachan offered his own 2026 free-agent landing spots, sending Aaron Rodgers to Arizona, Malik Willis to Pittsburgh, Alec Pierce to Seattle, Mike Evans to Baltimore, Deebo Samuel to Carolina, Kenneth Walker to Houston, Breece Hall to Washington, Kyle Pitts to Philadelphia and Dallas Goedert to Miami, while keeping Daniel Jones and Javonte Williams with their current teams.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · Miami DolphinsHit · 80Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6.
- Rich HribarDepth Chart Calls · Malik WillisHit · 100Hribar previews the Week 1 Dolphins-Raiders game, calling Malik Willis a strong floor-based QB2 for fantasy, noting Kirk Cousins is the Raiders' starter and not a Week 1 streamer in 1QB leagues, and listing expected defensive starters for both teams.
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Malik WillisHit · 100An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order.
- Greg AumanDepth Chart Calls · Malik WillisHit · 100Auman states Malik Willis will be Miami's Week 1 starting quarterback and the player the Dolphins build their season around, despite having only six career starts.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.