Nate Tice · Jun 26, 2025

Tice is bullish on Drake Maye's long-term All-Pro potential, likes the fit for Caleb Williams in Chicago and sees a path for Aaron Rodgers in Pittsburgh; he predicts Joe Flacco wins the Browns' starting job and that Jaxson Dart takes over for the Giants by Thanksgiving.

“So I predict by Thanksgiving that we see Jackson Dart.”

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Pro Bowl and All-Pro CallsJun 26, 2025
“I think this guy has all pro potential, and I really will stand on that. Not this year”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
made:
false
naive:
he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
skill:
-200
player:
Drake Maye
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
selection:
all_pro_first_team
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsJun 26, 2025
“I think that's where you see the rookie quarterback get dropped in... So I predict by Thanksgiving that we see Jackson Dart.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
16.67
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsJun 26, 2025
“I think the old man ends up winning Joe Blackout. I think he's on that roster to win the job... I really do think that the math game of all this ends up with Flacco as a starter”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
CIN
skill:
16.67
player:
Joe Flacco
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?