Nick Shook

Nick Shook covers the NFL across multiple platforms, appearing on the Around the NFL and Move the Sticks podcasts. His work spans draft analysis, offensive line breakdowns, and weekly power rankings, with a particular eye for position battles and combine evaluations.

Writes at Sports Illustrated

Every take from Nick Shook, including the ones still waiting →

Is Nick Shook accurate? Across 66 graded calls in 14 articles, Nick Shook scores 70.04% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 9.18, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

70.04%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

9.18

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 14 articles. 51 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

97.78% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 66

10 of 14 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 2 of 2.

Shook argues Cash Is Hal's short arms and 4.59 forty may have knocked him out of the first round entirely, defends Ruben Bain as a future stud despite short arms, calls Bailey a justified top-five pick, and doubts the Raiders will get two firsts plus a player for Maxx Crosby.2 graded calls · Feb 27, 2026
- Cashius Howell to be picked “fallen out of the first round entirely” (picks 1–32)
  “So I honestly think that he may have fallen out of the first round entirely after Wow”
  Close · 68Scored 67.71a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Cashius Howell
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  67.71
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:

Shook lays out the Giants' quarterback pecking order with Russell Wilson starting, Jameis Winston as the veteran backup and Jackson Dart third, predicts Abdul Carter beats out Kayvon Thibodeaux for the Giants' starting edge job, and assumes Tyler Shough wins the Saints' quarterback job.5 graded calls · Jul 21, 2025

Abdul Carter to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think Carter wins this job, and I think it applies pressure to Thibodeau”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
-16.67
player:
Abdul Carter
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
LB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
2
measured by:
defensive snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart
“I would assume Shuck. Yeah, investments in him.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NO
skill:
16.67
player:
Tyler Shough
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Jaxson Dart to be 3rd on the depth chart
“and Dart's gonna be the ooh. I don't know, we don't know anything about him... But I think for now that's the way it lines up.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
-16.67
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
3
weeks left when called:
Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
“Russ is gonna win the job because it's gonna be his job.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
0
player:
Russell Wilson
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Jameis Winston to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Jameis is gonna be your backup, veteran backup”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 83.33+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
16.67
player:
Jameis Winston
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
83.33
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Nick Shook offered draft projections from the combine: Bhayshul Tuten will go earlier than expected, Nick Emmanwori is a first-round pick and the first safety drafted, Maxwell Hairston will be the first cornerback off the board, and Malaki Starks may have snuck into the first round. He also predicted Will Campbell profiles as a top-five guard in the NFL despite his short arms.5 graded calls · Mar 3, 2025

Nick Emmanwori to be 1st safety off the board
“he's the first safety out, the board”
Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 19.61+51.1 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
naming one of the 21 at random averages 19.61
skill:
51.1
player:
Nick Emmanwori
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
19.61
position:
safety
class size:
21
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Maxwell Hairston to be 1st cornerback off the board
“I think he's going to be the first one off the board at the position and he makes the team”
Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 17.91+52.8 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
naming one of the 23 at random averages 17.91
skill:
52.8
player:
Maxwell Hairston
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
17.91
position:
cornerback
class size:
23
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Malaki Starks to be picked “may have snuck into the first round” (picks 1–32)
“he may have snuck into the first round”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Malaki Starks
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
may have snuck into the first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Will Campbell to be 1st on the depth chart
“he's got the potential to be an all pro guard because he wins with, his feet not with. His arms”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NE
skill:
-16.67
player:
Will Campbell
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
T
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Nick Emmanwori to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
“yeah he's the first, round pick he's the first safety out, the board”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Nick Emmanwori
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
35
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
first round pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Nick Shook Mock Draft Accuracy: Every Pick, Graded, page 2 | MissedTakes