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Nick Shook· Apr 9, 2025

Shook picked LSU tackle Will Campbell as the offensive lineman from this class most likely to become an All-Pro, but specifically at guard rather than tackle. He also called Missouri's Armand Membu one of the first two tackles off the board, tabbed Oregon State's Joshua Gray as a hidden gem who won't be a first-round pick, and argued Minnesota will win at least nine games.

It's Will Campbell to tackle from LSU, and I'm saying he's most likely to be an All Pro first at guard.

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

4 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick, 1 position order call, 1 pro bowl and all-pro call and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 68.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where this call stands in the room

Minnesota Vikings · 2025 season · wins

9 calls from 7 pundits between 7 wins and 11 wins. Nick Shook said 9 wins. the room's median is 9 wins. what happened: 9 wins

Nick Shook9 winsthe room — 9 calls from 7 punditsmedian 9 winswhat happened — 9 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
won't be a first round pick (NOT picks 1–32)They said
undraftedWhat happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Joshua Gray to be picked “won't be a first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    So won't be a first round pick, but is going to be a guy that I'm gonna pay a lot of attention to you because I think his upside is very much being slept on right now.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Joshua Gray
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2025; later signed with ATL
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    won't be a first round pick (NOT picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins

    On what planet do they not win nine games this year? I'm sorry, I just have a hard time believing that

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 55+90 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    MIN
    naive:
    11.25
    skill:
    90
    what happened:
    9
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    5
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    55
    predicted:
    9
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Will Campbell to make All Pro (at guard)

    It's Will Campbell to tackle from LSU, and I'm saying he's most likely to be an All Pro first at guard... solid tackle, All Pro guard.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -200
    player:
    Will Campbell
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Armand Membou to be one of those first two tackles coming off of the board tackle off the board

    So I think he's one of those first two tackles coming off of the board

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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