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Writes at Around the NFL (podcast)
Every take from Ollie Connolly, including the ones still waiting →
Is Ollie Connolly accurate? Across 16 graded calls in 5 articles, Ollie Connolly scores 51.38% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 15.21, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
77.27% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Ty Simpson to be picked “top of the second round” (picks 33–64)
“Well, you're probably going to have to do it the top of the second round.”
Kyle Louis to be picked “second or third round pick” (picks 33–100)
“Kyle Lewis, who's going to be a second or third round pick as a linebacker or safety”
Kaelon Black to be picked “potential sixth round pick types” (picks 182–216)
“he'll probably be on the field more than other potential sixth round pick types”
Demond Claiborne to be picked “fourth or fifth round” (picks 101–181)
“Maybe he's probably gonna go in the fourth or fifth round.”
Jermod McCoy to be 1st cornerback off the board
“I would be pretty stunned if he was not the first one of these corners taken.”
Malachi Lawrence to be picked “the first round” (picks 1–32)
“I think fifteen is where it starts... they would struggle to sleep that night if they didn't come away from the first round with Malachi Lawrence.”
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
“they just designed their offensive game plan around David Bailey, who might be the second pick in the draft”
Lee Hunter to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“I Think lee hunt is more of the room plugging guys who would go into go in the. SECOND round”
Anthony Hill to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“it's like the perfect profile if you can get him in the second round where I think he will go to invest that time in two three years and then become a full time starter”
Kayden McDonald to be picked “back of the first round” (picks 1–32)
“someone, like McDonald who i think will be the one who sneaks into the back of the first round”
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year
“Shanna ann is won for me?”
“My numb of five is Ben Johnson with the Bess... Number four for me is Liam Cohen with the Jags... I have Mike McDonald third... So I have Mike vrabel to, I have Kyle shana on one.”
Denver Broncos to beat Chiefs
“I think that they will absolutely roast them, But that is one thing football wise that'll be watching.”
Donovan Jeter to be picked “the second round” (picks 33–64)
“I think he's going to get ding to go in the second round, maybe because he just doesn't quite have the measurables teams are looking for.”
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“It's almost now because cam Ward is going to go first overall”
Travis Hunter to finish top 3 at his position, by interceptions
“the floor to me feels like the second or third best cornerback in the NFL De bending our system and circumstance and the ceiling is changes the position for generation”