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Ollie Connolly· Apr 14, 2025

Connolly agrees Shedeur Sanders likely lands in New Orleans, says Cam Ward goes first overall, projects Travis Hunter's floor as a top-three NFL cornerback, is out on Mason Graham as a top-10 pick, thinks Donovan Ezeiruaku slips to the second round, doesn't want James Pearce, and expects Malaki Starks to be taken around 25.

the floor to me feels like the second or third best cornerback in the NFL

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

7 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks, 2 draft bust calls, 1 positional finishe and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
3They said
160What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Travis Hunter to finish top 3 at his position, by interceptions

    the floor to me feels like the second or third best cornerback in the NFL De bending our system and circumstance and the ceiling is changes the position for generation

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    12
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    secondary
    ranked by:
    interceptions
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — the startable tier at secondary
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    24
    actual finish:
    160
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

  • Donovan Jeter to be picked “the second round” (picks 33–64)

    I think he's going to get ding to go in the second round, maybe because he just doesn't quite have the measurables teams are looking for.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Donovan Jeter
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2025; later signed with WAS
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    the second round (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    It's almost now because cam Ward is going to go first overall

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • James Pearce Jr. to disappoint at the next level

    He is the one that I would not want in my building... I like passwords who know what they're doing when they rush the passer, and not just kind of upfield athletes who tests really well but don't quite know how to play football

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Malaki Starks to be picked “somewhere in the twenty five range, maybe a little bit higher”

    He is a splash playmaker and So i'm sure a team will take him somewhere in the twenty five range, maybe a little bit higher

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mason Graham to disappoint at the next level

    I just what I'm taking with a top ten pick. I think there's better value further down the board than he is. I have a high second round grade on him.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Shedeur Sanders to move to New Orleans Saints

    I'm with you that is probably going to happen because Mickey Lewis is trying to save his job

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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