Connolly says Ruben Bain will go between the seventh and twelfth picks with 12 as his floor, floats David Bailey as a possible No. 2 overall pick, values Messidor in the twenties, expects Jermad McCoy to be the first cornerback drafted, and believes Malachi Lawrence will end up the most impactful edge player of the class and a first-round pick.

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyApr 15, 2026

  “they just designed their offensive game plan around David Bailey, who might be the second pick in the draft”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  David Bailey

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  undrafted

  outcome:

  went undrafted in 2026; later signed with NYJ

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  undrafted

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  0

  predicted pick:

  2

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksMalachi LawrenceApr 15, 2026

  “I think fifteen is where it starts... they would struggle to sleep that night if they didn't come away from the first round with Malachi Lawrence.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Malachi Lawrence

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  23

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  the first round (picks 1–32)

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Position Order CallsJermod McCoyTennessee TitansApr 15, 2026

  “I would be pretty stunned if he was not the first one of these corners taken.”

  Scored 2.21a naive guess scored 21.34-19.13 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  naming one of the 27 at random averages 21.34

  skill:

  -19.13

  player:

  Jermod McCoy

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  credit halves every two places

  accuracy:

  2.21

  baseline:

  21.34

  position:

  cornerback

  class size:

  27

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual order:

  12

  predicted order:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksAkheem MesidorMiami DolphinsApr 15, 2026

  “What would you invest in his fifteen two highs? It more in the twenties type range.”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?

• Positional FinishesMalachi LawrenceApr 15, 2026

  “I think in three four years, I really do think he's gonna be the guy. He was the most impactful from the group.”

  Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksRueben BainMiami DolphinsApr 15, 2026

  “I think he was always going to go probably from the seventh pick to the twelfth pick, and I was still put twelve as the floor.”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?