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Pat Fitzmaurice· Feb 20, 2026

Fitzmaurice made the even-numbered picks in the mock, sending Ruben Bain to the Jets at No. 2, Caleb Downs to the Giants at 5, Jeremiah Love to the Saints at 8, Spencer Fano to Miami at 11, Peter Woods to Baltimore at 14, Kadyn Proctor to Detroit at 17, TJ Parker to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Denzel Boston to Buffalo at 26, Monroe Freeling to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32. He also predicted Sadiq runs about a 4.5 at the combine and that Johnson really goes in the second round.

“Rubin Bain is the pick at number two.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

13 checkable claims — 12 mock draft picks and 1 combine measurement — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 22 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 13 have settled, averaging 69.5 out of 100, against 47.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

13 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • “He's probably gonna run a four to five at the combine”

    Close · 59Scored 58.58a naive guess scored 20.76+37.82 skill
    How this was scored
    off:
    0.11
    drill:
    forty time
    naive:
    the average TE (4.71, from 107 results)
    scale:
    credit halves every 0.14 — one standard deviation for a TE
    skill:
    37.82
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    result:
    4.39
    season:
    2025
    combine year:
    2026
    accuracy:
    58.58
    baseline:
    20.76
    predicted:
    4.5
    sigmas out:
    0.77
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

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  • Chris Johnson to be picked “the second round” (picks 33–64)

    “I think Johnson probably ends up going in the second round”

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Chris Johnson
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    27
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    the second round (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82

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  • Chris Johnson to be picked at number 32

    “they are going to take a cornerback. It's Chris Johnson of San Diego State.”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Chris Johnson
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    27
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    32
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82

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  • Peter Woods to be picked at number 14

    “They are going to select Peter Woods, defensive lineman from Clemson.”

    Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Peter Woods
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    29
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82

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  • Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5

    “Giants run Selac safety Caleb Downs. The Giants have a lot of pass rushing talent, but they need some help on the back back end”

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85

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  • Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 29

    “Monroe Freeling was a second team All SEC right tackle for the Georgia Bulldogs last season... Plug and play replacement for Havenstein.”

    Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    Monroe Freeling
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    19
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    29
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85

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  • Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 23

    “They're gonna take Kenyon Sidiq, the tight end from Oregon”

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85

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  • T.J. Parker to be picked at number 20

    “giving the Cowboys Clemson edge TJ. Parker... TJ. Parker was going to be available at number twenty in the twenty twenty six draft”

    Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    T.J. Parker
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    35
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85

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  • Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17

    “The Lions are going to take Cayden Proctor, the massive offensive tackle from Alabama.”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85

    Think this is wrong?

  • Spencer Fano to be picked at number 11

    “Miami is going to take Spencer Fano the tackle from Utah.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8

    “I'm getting the Saints. Jeremiah Love a top guy at a non premium pick position”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85

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  • Rueben Bain to be picked at number 2

    “so I'm going to give them Rubin Bain the edge from Miami... Rubin Bain is the pick at number two.”

    Close · 57Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85

    Think this is wrong?

  • Denzel Boston to be picked at number 26

    “Bill's general manager Brandon Bean does not take Dunzel Boston, the receiver from the University of Washington, Bills fans are going to storm team headquarters”

    Close · 57Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    Denzel Boston
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    39
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85

    Think this is wrong?

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