Pat Fitzmaurice

Pat Fitzmaurice is the managing editor at FantasyPros and BettingPros, where he shapes the editorial direction for two of fantasy sports' most-visited destinations. A Milwaukee native and Green Bay Packers fan, he's built his career across outlets including Pro Football Weekly, Tribune Media Services, 4for4, and The Football Girl. His work at FantasyPros covers the full spectrum of fantasy football decision-making — sleepers, busts, draft strategy, and the preseason tea-leaf reading that separates the prepared from the hopeful. He's also a regular voice on podcasts and video segments, including appearances on The Herd with Colin Cowherd, breaking down the players and picks that define each fantasy season.

Writes at The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)

Every take from Pat Fitzmaurice, including the ones still waiting →

Is Pat Fitzmaurice accurate? Across 168 graded calls in 23 articles, Pat Fitzmaurice scores 58.03% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 47.24, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

58.03%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

47.24

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

168

Graded calls

across 23 articles. 378 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

98.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 168

3 of 23 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 5 of 5.

Fitz calls Christian McCaffrey the ultimate boom candidate, ranking him RB5 and drafting him around the 1-2 turn; he also likes Isaiah Pacheco as a small boom, believing Pacheco is still the Chiefs' best back and a bargain in the seventh or eighth round, while fading Breece Hall because of Aaron Glenn's committee talk and Justin Fields' effect on receiving work.5 graded calls · Jun 22, 2025
- Christian McCaffrey to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
  “For me, he's a boom. He's my RB five. I initially had him lower in my rankings this offseason, but I have moved him up”
  Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  150
  player:
  Christian McCaffrey
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  75
  baseline:
  0
  position:

Fitzmorris ranks Chase Brown RB11 and expects him to remain Cincinnati's lead back, is far higher than the projections on Drake May (QB9, 700 rushing yards), and views Bucky Irving as an undervalued second-round pick who keeps the Tampa Bay lead job over Rachaad White.7 graded calls · Jun 14, 2025

Bucky Irving to outplay his draft cost (more of a third or fourth rounder)
“I thought he was a pretty solid option in the latter part of the second round of twenty twenty five drafts. I know a lot of people think he's more of a third or fourth rounder, and the projection seem to agree”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
more of a third or fourth rounder
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Bucky Irving
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB14
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB36
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
Chase Brown to be 1st on the depth chart
“But I do think Chase Brown is still pretty safely going to be the lead back in one of the best offenses in the league.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
CIN
skill:
0
player:
Chase Brown
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
RB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Bucky Irving to be 1st on the depth chart
“Bucky Irving's not going to lose his job back to Rashad White... I don't think there's any chance the pendulum swings back towards Rashad White barring injury”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
TB
skill:
0
player:
Bucky Irving
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
RB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
Rachaad White to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Rashad was in a pure backup rowl. I don't think there's any chance the pendulum swings back towards Rashad White barring injury”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
TB
skill:
0
player:
Rachaad White
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Drake Maye to finish top 9 at his position, by fantasy points
“So the projections have Drake May QB twenty in fantasy scoring. That's the scary part. I have May at QB nine”
Close · 42Scored 41.67a naive guess scored 0+83.33 skill
How this was scored
skill:
83.33
player:
Drake Maye
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
41.67
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
22
actual finish:
2
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
9
Drake Maye to record 700 rushing yards
“I think if he makes sixteen starts or seventeen, he is going to go for seven hundred rushing yards. And I feel pretty confident about that.”
Miss · 29Scored 28.57a naive guess scored 25.8+5.54 skill
How this was scored
naive:
283.05
skill:
5.54
what happened:
450
player:
Drake Maye
season:
2025
accuracy:
28.57
baseline:
25.8
predicted:
700
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
421
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
145.1
zero at percent out:
50
Chase Brown to finish top 11 at his position, by fantasy points
“so I've Chased Brown at RB eleven in my rankings”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 83.33+16.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
16.67
player:
Chase Brown
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
83.33
position:
RB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
12
actual finish:
10
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
11

Fitzmorris gave his personal ranks, pushing Ashton Jeanty, Brock Bowers (whom he calls a clear tier above all tight ends), Drake London, Mike Evans, Garrett Wilson, Chuba Hubbard and Aaron Jones above consensus while fading Christian McCaffrey, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DJ Moore and TJ Hockenson.16 graded calls · May 17, 2025

Mike Evans to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty two)
“I do still think Evans is a pretty low risk, high yield investment... So I'm going to keep drafting Mike Evans.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
ECR thirty two
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Mike Evans
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR76
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
“I have him at seven overall Welsh... twelfth overall [Bowers]... I think I've got him fifteenth overall [London]... Fits you've got him at twenty six [Evans]... I've got him at thirty thirty four [Wilson]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... you've got him at fifty [Aaron Jones]... Worthy I have at fifty five... I've gone him at fifty eight overall [Rice]”
Close · 64Scored 63.57a naive guess scored 50+27.14 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
27.14
placed:
8
season:
2025
players:
9
accuracy:
63.57
baseline:
50
by position:
RB 2: 100, WR 6: 51.43
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Chuba Hubbard to be 1st on the depth chart
“So I'm not worried about Dowell supplanting Chuba Hubbard. I'm not too worried about fourth round draft pick Trevor Etn... supplanting Cuba.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
CAR
skill:
0
player:
Chuba Hubbard
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
RB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ECR sixteen, a second round pick)
“McCaffrey is not a risk worth taking because when your shark, your emphasis in the first two rounds should be on avoiding the bear traps”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
ECR sixteen, a second round pick
naive:
the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
skill:
-200
player:
Christian McCaffrey
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
cost round:
2
had to beat:
RB6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
Chuba Hubbard to outplay his draft cost (more towards the late fourth)
“because I would be perfectly comfortable taking him early in the fourth and he's going more towards the late fourth”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
more towards the late fourth
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Chuba Hubbard
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB13
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB42
weeks left when called:
18
Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifteen)
“And I do think brock Bauer should go at the turn in twelve team drafts.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
ECR fifteen
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Brock Bowers
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
TE
had to beat:
TE2
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
TE8
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“So yes, I do think Bowers is a clear tier above anyone else at tight end.”
Close · 42Scored 41.67a naive guess scored 50-16.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-16.67
player:
Brock Bowers
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
41.67
baseline:
50
position:
TE
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
2
actual finish:
8
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)
“I'm ahead of ECR on him for sure, And like I might even be able to move Garrett Wilson a little higher”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
ECR thirty six
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Garrett Wilson
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR16
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR64
weeks left when called:
18
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (an ECR of forty three)
“with Rashie Rice at an ECR of forty three and Xavier Worthy at fifty four, at least one of those guys has to be a colossal disappointment at their current cost”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
an ECR of forty three
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Rashee Rice
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR97
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR41
weeks left when called:
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)
“I don't need to wait until the back end of the first round of Draft ash and jenty just because he hasn't compiled any sort of NFL resume yet.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
ECR ten
naive:
a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
skill:
200
player:
Ashton Jeanty
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB24
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB15
weeks left when called:
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (a mid third round price)
“I just I want no part of thirty one year old Tyreek Hill coming off a bad year... I don't really want to pay a mid third round price to find out”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
a mid third round price
naive:
the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
skill:
200
player:
Tyreek Hill
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
cost round:
3
had to beat:
WR10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
Aaron Jones to outplay his draft cost (his end of the fifth round ECR)
“maybe people are a little bored with him, so I think he's going to be a value in drafts”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
his end of the fifth round ECR
naive:
the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
skill:
-200
player:
Aaron Jones
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
cost round:
5
had to beat:
RB20
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB44
Zach Ertz to outplay his draft cost
“I'd rather just wait, like several rounds later and get the same level of production, if not better from zach Ertz.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
none named
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Zach Ertz
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
TE
had to beat:
TE8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
TE21
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)
“It's more of a gentle fade for me... I'm probably not going to have a lot of DJ Moore in twenty twenty five.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
ECR thirty nine
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
DJ Moore
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR22
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR27
weeks left when called:
18
Drake London to outplay his draft cost (ECR nineteen)
“I think London is absolutely worthy of being drafted close to the turn... I'm higher on him than ECR”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
ECR nineteen
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Drake London
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR17
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
T.J. Hockenson to fall short of his draft cost (a sixth rounder in ECR)
“I just cannot get on board with a sixth round ECR for him.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
a sixth rounder in ECR
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
T.J. Hockenson
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
TE
had to beat:
TE33
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
TE29
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:

Pat Fitzmaurice Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take, page 5 | MissedTakes