Pat Fitzmaurice · May 17, 2025

Fitzmorris gave his personal ranks, pushing Ashton Jeanty, Brock Bowers (whom he calls a clear tier above all tight ends), Drake London, Mike Evans, Garrett Wilson, Chuba Hubbard and Aaron Jones above consensus while fading Christian McCaffrey, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DJ Moore and TJ Hockenson.

“So yes, I do think Bowers is a clear tier above anyone else at tight end.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

16 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Sleeper Calls Aaron Jones Minnesota VikingsMay 17, 2025
“maybe people are a little bored with him, so I think he's going to be a value in drafts”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
his end of the fifth round ECR
naive:
the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
skill:
-200
player:
Aaron Jones
season:
2025
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
cost round:
5
had to beat:
RB24
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB44
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Fantasy RankingsMay 17, 2025
“I have him at seven overall Welsh... twelfth overall [Bowers]... I think I've got him fifteenth overall [London]... Fits you've got him at twenty six [Evans]... I've got him at thirty thirty four [Wilson]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... you've got him at fifty [Aaron Jones]... Worthy I have at fifty five... I've gone him at fifty eight overall [Rice]”
Scored 63.57a naive guess scored 50+27.14 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
27.14
placed:
8
season:
2025
players:
9
accuracy:
63.57
baseline:
50
by position:
RB 2: 100, WR 6: 51.43
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Fantasy Bust Calls Tyreek Hill Miami DolphinsMay 17, 2025
“I just I want no part of thirty one year old Tyreek Hill coming off a bad year... I don't really want to pay a mid third round price to find out”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
a mid third round price
naive:
the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
skill:
200
player:
Tyreek Hill
season:
2025
correct:
true
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
cost round:
3
had to beat:
WR12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR107
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Fantasy Bust Calls Christian McCaffrey San Francisco 49ersMay 17, 2025
“McCaffrey is not a risk worth taking because when your shark, your emphasis in the first two rounds should be on avoiding the bear traps”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
ECR sixteen, a second round pick
naive:
the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
skill:
-200
player:
Christian McCaffrey
season:
2025
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
cost round:
2
had to beat:
RB5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Positional Finishes Brock Bowers Las Vegas RaidersMay 17, 2025
“So yes, I do think Bowers is a clear tier above anyone else at tight end.”
Scored 41.67a naive guess scored 50-16.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-16.67
player:
Brock Bowers
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
41.67
baseline:
50
position:
TE
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
2
actual finish:
8
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Chuba Hubbard Carolina PanthersMay 17, 2025
“So I'm not worried about Dowell supplanting Chuba Hubbard. I'm not too worried about fourth round draft pick Trevor Etn... supplanting Cuba.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
CAR
skill:
0
player:
Chuba Hubbard
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
RB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper Calls Chuba Hubbard Carolina PanthersMay 17, 2025
“because I would be perfectly comfortable taking him early in the fourth and he's going more towards the late fourth”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Fantasy Bust Calls DJ Moore Chicago BearsMay 17, 2025
“It's more of a gentle fade for me... I'm probably not going to have a lot of DJ Moore in twenty twenty five.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Fantasy Bust Calls T.J. Hockenson Minnesota VikingsMay 17, 2025
“I just cannot get on board with a sixth round ECR for him.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper Calls Mike Evans Tampa Bay BuccaneersMay 17, 2025
“I do still think Evans is a pretty low risk, high yield investment... So I'm going to keep drafting Mike Evans.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper Calls Drake London Atlanta FalconsMay 17, 2025
“I think London is absolutely worthy of being drafted close to the turn... I'm higher on him than ECR”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper Calls Zach Ertz Washington CommandersMay 17, 2025
“I'd rather just wait, like several rounds later and get the same level of production, if not better from zach Ertz.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper Calls Ashton Jeanty Las Vegas RaidersMay 17, 2025
“I don't need to wait until the back end of the first round of Draft ash and jenty just because he hasn't compiled any sort of NFL resume yet.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper Calls Brock Bowers Las Vegas RaidersMay 17, 2025
“And I do think brock Bauer should go at the turn in twelve team drafts.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Fantasy Bust Calls Rashee Rice Kansas City ChiefsMay 17, 2025
“with Rashie Rice at an ECR of forty three and Xavier Worthy at fifty four, at least one of those guys has to be a colossal disappointment at their current cost”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper Calls Garrett Wilson New York JetsMay 17, 2025
“I'm ahead of ECR on him for sure, And like I might even be able to move Garrett Wilson a little higher”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?