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Pat Fitzmaurice· Jun 22, 2025

Fitz calls Christian McCaffrey the ultimate boom candidate, ranking him RB5 and drafting him around the 1-2 turn; he also likes Isaiah Pacheco as a small boom, believing Pacheco is still the Chiefs' best back and a bargain in the seventh or eighth round, while fading Breece Hall because of Aaron Glenn's committee talk and Justin Fields' effect on receiving work.

“For me, he's a boom. He's my RB five.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

4 checkable claims — 2 sleeper calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 91.7 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Sleeper CallsChristian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ersJun 22, 2025

    Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (right around that one two turn)

    “If McCaffrey is healthy, he is going to smash... Yeah, I mean I love to wait till the second but he's right around that one two turn for me.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    right around that one two turn
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Christian McCaffrey
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    RB
    had to beat:
    RB72
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    RB2
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish

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  • Sleeper CallsIsiah PachecoKansas City ChiefsJun 22, 2025

    Isiah Pacheco to outplay his draft cost (you can get him in the seventh or eighth)

    “This is a guy who was being drafted in the mid to late second round last year and now you can get him in the seventh or eighth... he's a small boom for me.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    you can get him in the seventh or eighth
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Isiah Pacheco
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    RB
    had to beat:
    RB63
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    RB52
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish

    Think this is wrong?

  • Depth Chart CallsIsiah PachecoKansas City ChiefsJun 22, 2025

    Isiah Pacheco to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I still think Pachecko is probably the best running back the Chiefs have”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    KC
    skill:
    -16.67
    player:
    Isiah Pacheco
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18

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  • Positional FinishesChristian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ersJun 22, 2025

    Christian McCaffrey to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points

    “For me, he's a boom. He's my RB five. I initially had him lower in my rankings this offseason, but I have moved him up”

    Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    150
    player:
    Christian McCaffrey
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    12
    accuracy:
    75
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    RB
    ranked by:
    fantasy points
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    72
    actual finish:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    5

    Think this is wrong?

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