Patrick Claybon

65.86%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

16.44

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 3 articles. 7 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 8

Claybon picked the Ravens to beat the Packers in the Super Bowl, took the Dolphins as his Week 1 survivor pick along with liking the Bucs and Cardinals in their openers, and said Buffalo is making the playoffs.4 graded calls · Sep 3, 2025
- “Which is why let's go Dolphins ... which is why they are my Survivor Picks Week one.”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  IND
  score:
  8-33
  skill:
  -200
  they picked:
  MIA
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  naive pick:
  IND
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “Look, Arizona is my survivor. There, it is there, it is”
  Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  ARI
  score:
  20-13
  skill:
  200
  they picked:
  ARI
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  naive pick:
  NO
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I look, Buffalo is going to the playoffs.”
  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  BUF
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  naive said:
  true
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made playoffs:
  true
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I'm picking to Baltimore Ravens to the super Bowl again ... I've got Ravens Overpacker.”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  BAL
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  champion:
  SEA
  runner up:
  NE
  naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Claybon's ten picks in the best-wide-receivers draft (overall picks 2, 5, 8, 11, 14, 17, 20, 23, 26 and 29), led by Justin Jefferson at No. 2 and Puka Nacua at No. 5, with a notably aggressive Tyreek Hill selection at No. 8. He also framed DeVonta Smith and Tee Higgins as No. 2 receivers on their teams.3 graded calls · Jun 5, 2025
- “I'm gonna take another number two. I'm gonna take t Higgins here at this point”
  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  CIN
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Tee Higgins
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  WR
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  2
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  receptions
  naive basis:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I'll take the number two. I'll take Davonte Smith here at number seventeen... the fact that he's sharing those targets with AJ Brown”
  Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  PHI
  skill:
  16.67
  player:
  DeVonta Smith
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  WR
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  2
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  receptions
  naive basis:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “Claybon's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: Justin Jefferson (2), Puka Nacua (5), Tyreek Hill (8), Terry McLaurin (11), Davante Adams (14), DeVonta Smith (17), Tee Higgins (20), Chris Olave (23), Courtland Sutton (26), Jameson Williams (29)”
  Scored 35.15a naive guess scored 50-29.7 skill
  How this was scored
  naive:
  a coin-flip ordering scores 50
  skill:
  -29.7
  placed:
  10
  season:
  2025
  players:
  10
  accuracy:
  35.15
  baseline:
  50
  by position:
  WR 10: 35.15
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  could not place:
  0
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Claybon ranks Tyler Warren as his No. 1 tight end in the class with Harold Fannin Jr. second, and prefers Mason Taylor to Colston Loveland as a prospect.Apr 16, 2025
- “He has to be the te one... so he's my te one. Harold Fannon Junior, my fury... I would say Mason Taylor to me is a safer prospect than than Loveland... I prefer Taylor to love one”
  Scored 80a naive guess scored 50+60 skill
  How this was scored
  naive:
  a coin-flip ordering scores 50
  skill:
  60
  placed:
  4
  season:
  2025
  players:
  4
  accuracy:
  80
  baseline:
  50
  by position:
  TE 4: 80
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  could not place:
  0
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?