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Patrick Claybon· Jun 5, 2025

Claybon's ten picks in the best-wide-receivers draft (overall picks 2, 5, 8, 11, 14, 17, 20, 23, 26 and 29), led by Justin Jefferson at No. 2 and Puka Nacua at No. 5, with a notably aggressive Tyreek Hill selection at No. 8. He also framed DeVonta Smith and Tee Higgins as No. 2 receivers on their teams.

“I will take Justin Jefferson as college teammate of Jamar Chase at number two.”

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

3 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 78.4 out of 100, against 80.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Top Player ListsJun 5, 2025

    “Claybon's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: Justin Jefferson (2), Puka Nacua (5), Tyreek Hill (8), Terry McLaurin (11), Davante Adams (14), DeVonta Smith (17), Tee Higgins (20), Chris Olave (23), Courtland Sutton (26), Jameson Williams (29)”

    Miss · 35Scored 35.15a naive guess scored 50-29.7 skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    -29.7
    placed:
    10
    season:
    2025
    players:
    10
    accuracy:
    35.15
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    WR 10: 35.15
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Depth Chart CallsDeVonta SmithPhiladelphia EaglesJun 5, 2025

    DeVonta Smith to be 2nd on the depth chart

    “I'll take the number two. I'll take Davonte Smith here at number seventeen... the fact that he's sharing those targets with AJ Brown”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    PHI
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    DeVonta Smith
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Depth Chart CallsTee HigginsCincinnati BengalsJun 5, 2025

    Tee Higgins to be 2nd on the depth chart

    “I'm gonna take another number two. I'm gonna take t Higgins here at this point”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CIN
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Tee Higgins
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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