Patrick Claybon · Sep 3, 2025
Claybon picked the Ravens to beat the Packers in the Super Bowl, took the Dolphins as his Week 1 survivor pick along with liking the Bucs and Cardinals in their openers, and said Buffalo is making the playoffs.
“I'm picking to Baltimore Ravens to the super Bowl again ... I've got Ravens Overpacker.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
7 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Playoff PicksBuffalo BillsSep 3, 2025
“I look, Buffalo is going to the playoffs.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksMiami DolphinsSep 3, 2025
“Which is why let's go Dolphins ... which is why they are my Survivor Picks Week one.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- IND
- score:
- 8-33
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- MIA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksArizona CardinalsSep 3, 2025
“Look, Arizona is my survivor. There, it is there, it is”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- ARI
- score:
- 20-13
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- ARI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Super Bowl PicksBaltimore RavensSep 3, 2025
“I'm picking to Baltimore Ravens to the super Bowl again ... I've got Ravens Overpacker.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersSep 3, 2025
“I like the Bucks this one.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsGreen Bay PackersSep 3, 2025
“So I will have them going to the Super Bowl and losing for the third consecutive year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsBaltimore RavensSep 3, 2025
“I'm picking to Baltimore Ravens to the super Bowl again”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.