Patrick Claybon· Sep 3, 2025
Claybon picked the Ravens to beat the Packers in the Super Bowl, took the Dolphins as his Week 1 survivor pick along with liking the Bucs and Cardinals in their openers, and said Buffalo is making the playoffs.
“I'm picking to Baltimore Ravens to the super Bowl again ... I've got Ravens Overpacker.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
7 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 2 conference champions, 1 playoff pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 7 have settled, averaging 42.9 out of 100, against 28.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
7 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Conference ChampionsBaltimore RavensSep 3, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
“I'm picking to Baltimore Ravens to the super Bowl again”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE,SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersSep 3, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Atlanta Falcons
“I like the Bucks this one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 23-20
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ATL
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Conference ChampionsGreen Bay PackersSep 3, 2025
Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl
“So I will have them going to the Super Bowl and losing for the third consecutive year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE,SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
- Playoff PicksBuffalo BillsSep 3, 2025
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“I look, Buffalo is going to the playoffs.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksMiami DolphinsSep 3, 2025
Miami Dolphins to beat Indianapolis Colts
“Which is why let's go Dolphins ... which is why they are my Survivor Picks Week one.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- IND
- score:
- 8-33
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- MIA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksArizona CardinalsSep 3, 2025
Arizona Cardinals to beat New Orleans Saints
“Look, Arizona is my survivor. There, it is there, it is”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- ARI
- score:
- 20-13
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- ARI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Super Bowl PicksBaltimore RavensSep 3, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl
“I'm picking to Baltimore Ravens to the super Bowl again ... I've got Ravens Overpacker.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
What others said about the same people
- Greg JenningsGame Outcome Picks · Arizona CardinalsMiss · 0Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis.
- Nick ShookGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensMiss · 0Shook said he would take the Steelers and Jaguars to win outright on the road, still expects the Chargers to beat the Raiders, and thinks Baltimore's run game will turn the Saints game into a double-digit Ravens win.
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Sullivan has Tampa Bay blowing out Cleveland, Green Bay winning narrowly at the Jets, and Philadelphia beating Tennessee by double digits.
- John BreechScore Predictions · Arizona CardinalsMiss · 0Breech has San Francisco routing Miami 38-16 and says the Dolphins are headed for an 0-17 season; he also picks Arizona to upset Seattle 20-17.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensMiss · 36Prisco picks final scores for every Week 2 NFL game, with several teams that lost in Week 1 — the Chargers, Patriots, Cowboys, Packers and Rams — bouncing back, and the Bills outlasting the Lions in a shootout.
- John HendricksScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensClose · 48John Hendricks picked Baltimore to win 23-17, predicted Derrick Henry would score two touchdowns, called for Devon Vale's first career 100-yard receiving game, and bought Chris Olave topping 1,300 receiving yards.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Eric MoodyGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.