Is Ryan Wormeli accurate? Across 33 graded calls in 8 articles, Ryan Wormeli scores 50.18% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -3.15, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
50.18%
Accuracy
How often they were right.
-3.15
MissedTakes Score
Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.
33
Graded calls
across 8 articles.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
What they call, and how it goes
The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.
Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.
“This is the starting running back who is going to get I think, pretty much every touch he can handle, just because there's no other competition there for an offense that I expect to be like the poor man's Bengals this year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top sixty five picks)
“I am out on Zay Flowers this year. Part of it is the cost... the real time ADP is inside the top sixty five picks... I don't think the cost aligns with the ceiling.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
inside the top sixty five picks
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Zay Flowers
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR24
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR8
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (It's about the five oh five is where he's going)
“I don't care, frankly, that he is now going inside the fifth round... I just think he's really good. It's a great fit, and I think you're gonna be really happy with that pick.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
It's about the five oh five is where he's going
naive:
a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
skill:
200
player:
Tetairoa McMillan
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR36
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR13
Bryce Young to finish top 22 at his position, by fantasy points
“He's QB twenty two in ECR right now... I feel reasonably confident. Actually he's going to finish better than QB twenty two, assuming health”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 91.67-33.33 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-33.33
player:
Bryce Young
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
75
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
20
actual finish:
19
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
Cedric Tillman to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver fifty seven in ECR)
“But this is another one that I like, I really strongly agree with you, Jake on cedracle”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
Rashod Bateman to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver fifty six)
“Rashaw Baatemen is wide receiver fifty six... I'm actually reasonably confident that if those guys stay healthy, they are going to outperform those values”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
wide receiver fifty six
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Rashod Bateman
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR30
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR102
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
“he was amazing last year and if he's healthy this year, he's scoring another twelve touchdowns, He's getting fifteen hundred rushing yards in a healthy season”
Hit · 88Scored 88.09a naive guess scored 44.19+87.8 skill
How this was scored
naive:
1149.89
skill:
87.8
what happened:
1595
player:
Derrick Henry
season:
2025
accuracy:
88.09
baseline:
44.19
predicted:
1500
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
1921
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
378.78
zero at percent out:
Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (outside the top forty running backs)
“I like Jordan Mason a lot. If he's going out to the top forty running backs”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
outside the top forty running backs
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Jordan Mason
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB33
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB33
weeks left when called:
18
Bijan Robinson to outplay his draft cost (third or fourth pick)
“I think Bjeon is going to win leagues this year, especially if you're getting him like third or fourth pick in your drafts”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
third or fourth pick
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Bijan Robinson
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB4
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB3
weeks left when called:
18
Justice Hill to outplay his draft cost (RB sixty six)
“Justin Hill is going he is going to outperform MARB sixty six if he's healthy. I guarantee you”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
RB sixty six
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Justice Hill
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB42
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB66
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
Brian Robinson to record 1,200 rushing yards
“If Brian Robinson is the lead back in this offense, like I could see a real path to like twelve hundred yards and twelve touchdowns this season”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 35.85-71.7 skill
How this was scored
naive:
588.89
skill:
-71.7
what happened:
400
player:
Brian Robinson
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
35.85
predicted:
1200
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
799
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
378.78
zero at percent out:
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)
“I wonder if Javonte Williams is a screaming value at RB thirty seven, even if it feels gross to draft him... I will be ranking him ahead of RB thirty seven. I guarantee it”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
RB thirty seven
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Javonte Williams
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB32
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB11
weeks left when called:
Brian Robinson to record 12 rushing tds
“I could see a real path to like twelve hundred yards and twelve touchdowns this season”