Ryan Wormeli · Feb 5, 2026
Ryan picks the Seahawks to cover -4.5 and to beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl, likely by a touchdown, believing Seattle is the better team. For props he likes Drake May over 37.5 rushing yards and Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 6.5 receptions, and thinks JSN probably scores a touchdown.
“So I think that the Seahawks have a better chance of winning this game by a touchdown than the Patriots do, and that is the direction I'm leaning.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
“my number one choice that I ended up settling on. Jackson Smith and Jigba over six and a half receptions”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 7.27-7.27 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 63.83
- skill:
- -7.27
- what happened:
- 119
- player:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 7.27
- predicted:
- 7
- statistic:
- receptions
- difficulty:
- 1
- last season:
- 100
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- position average:
- 27.65
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Super Bowl PicksSeattle SeahawksFeb 5, 2026
“Ultimately, I am still going with it... I think the Seahawks are the better team... I'll be rooting for Seattle on Sunday”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksFeb 5, 2026
“So I think that the Seahawks have a better chance of winning this game by a touchdown than the Patriots do, and that is the direction I'm leaning.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 29-13
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“It's the rush rushing yardage of thirty seven and a half that I like... on hard rock bet is thirty seven and a half... I like the overrun that”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 25.8-25.8 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 283.05
- skill:
- -25.8
- what happened:
- 450
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 25.8
- predicted:
- 37.5
- statistic:
- rushing_yards
- difficulty:
- 1
- last season:
- 421
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- position average:
- 145.1
- zero at percent out:
- 50
“But if I had to bet, I do. I do think he probably scores a touchdown in this game”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.