Ryan Wormeli· Aug 23, 2025
Warmley ranks Nico Collins his WR4 and Drake London his WR5, argues Ja'Marr Chase should be the No. 1 fantasy player again, has Tetairoa McMillan inside his top 20 receivers, and says Emeka Egbuka could be a top-24 receiver.
“I don't understand what the case is against Chase being the number one player in Fantasy again this year.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
7 checkable claims — 5 positional finishes and 2 sleeper calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 7 have settled, averaging 45.2 out of 100, against 26.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
7 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Sleeper CallsCalvin RidleyTennessee TitansAug 23, 2025
Calvin Ridley to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty in real time ADP)
“he's why did she for thirty in real time ADP... he will be a value this season, assuming health. Like I'm extremely confident on that”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- wide receiver thirty in real time ADP
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Calvin Ridley
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR25
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR112
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
- Sleeper CallsTetairoa McMillanCarolina PanthersAug 23, 2025
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver twenty six in real time ADP)
“I don't understand why he's available in round five. I don't understand why his real time ADP is wide receiver twenty six”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- wide receiver twenty six in real time ADP
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR36
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR13
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Tetairoa McMillan to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points
“For me, he's inside the top twenty, probably inside the top eighteen. Honestly”
Close · 42Scored 41.67a naive guess scored 0+83.33 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 83.33
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 41.67
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at WR
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 36
- actual finish:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 20
- Positional FinishesDrake LondonAtlanta FalconsAug 23, 2025
Drake London to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
“Nico Collins is by wide receiver four, Drake Leonard is by wide receiver five”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 8.33-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 6
- actual finish:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 5
Emeka Egbuka to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points
“it would not shock me in the slightest given what's going on in that receiver room. If he's a top twenty four receiver this year”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Emeka Egbuka
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at WR
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 36
- actual finish:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 24
Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“I don't understand what the case is against Chase being the number one player in Fantasy again this year.”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 66.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Ja'Marr Chase
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 66.67
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 1
- actual finish:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Positional FinishesNico CollinsHouston TexansAug 23, 2025
Nico Collins to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points
“Nico Collins is by wide receiver four, Drake Leonard is by wide receiver five”
Close · 58Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 8.33+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Nico Collins
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 58.33
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 20
- actual finish:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 4
What others said about the same people
- Fox SportsDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Hit · 100Fox Sports states that a healthy Tua Tagovailoa will serve as Atlanta's backup quarterback in Week 3, with Michael Penix Jr. handling the starting duties against Green Bay.
- Jared KochRoster Spot Calls · Nico CollinsHit · 100Koch projects the Texans' wide receiver depth chart after Jayden Higgins' season-ending injury, naming Nico Collins, Xavier Hutchinson and Jaylin Noel as starters, listing backups and roster locks, and predicting Collins tops his 2025 receiving marks.
- Zach RobertsRoster Spot Calls · Aaron HallHit · 100Previewing the Panthers' Hall of Fame Game, Roberts predicts Kenny Pickett starts but plays sparingly with Haynes King getting extensive work, and projects UDFA receiver Ja'Seem Reed and defensive lineman Aaron Hall to make the final 53-man roster.
- Jay MorrisonRoster Spot Calls · Tanner HudsonMiss · 0Morrison expects the Bengals to promote tight end Tanner Hudson from the practice squad to the active roster to fill the spot opened by Andrei Iosivas going on Injured Reserve.
- Jared KochRoster Spot Calls · Brevin JordanHit · 100Koch expects Brevin Jordan to be the odd man out among Houston's five tight ends and be inactive for the Week 1 game against the Bills, largely due to a leg injury.
- Scott KennedyRoster Spot Calls · Tua TagovailoaHit · 100Kennedy reports that Atlanta is expected to keep three quarterbacks on its 53-man roster: Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Penix Jr., and undrafted rookie Jack Strand.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarPositional Finishes · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.
- Chris BrockmanPositional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaHit · 100Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.
- Ryan TracyPositional Finishes · Bryan CookMiss · 0Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.
- Pat GustavsonPositional Finishes · Josh AllenMiss · 17Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.
- Rich EisenPositional Finishes · George PickensHit · 100Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.
- Chad Ochocinco JohnsonPositional Finishes · Christian GonzalezMiss · 0Ochocinco says Christian Gonzalez belongs in the top-five DB conversation, believes Kyler Murray will be elsewhere next year, expects Chase to get a one-game suspension, backs Sam Darnold to bounce back, and floats Jaxon Smith-Njigba reaching 2,000 receiving yards. He also reminds listeners he called the Bears and Panthers as teams to watch before the season.