Scott Bogman · Feb 20, 2026

Bogman's mock picks: Arvel Reese to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauigoa to Cleveland at 6, Keldric Faulk to Kansas City at 9, Sonny Styles to Dallas at 12, Cashius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kayden McDonald to San Francisco at 27 and Anthony Hill to Denver at 30.

“I'll take the risk for the Cardinals and take rvel risk. Rvel recent number three.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

10 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft Picks K.C. Concepcion Cleveland BrownsFeb 20, 2026
“I went with Casey Kcepsi on the wide receiver from Texas A and M. I think he's the most obvious fit here for the Browns.”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.67 against a shuffle’s 50+31.67 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.67
player:
K.C. Concepcion
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
24
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.67
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Sonny Styles Dallas CowboysFeb 20, 2026
“Easiest picking the draft from me, Sonny styles and linebackers out of Ohio State”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with WAS
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Francis Mauigoa Cleveland BrownsFeb 20, 2026
“we're gonna go with Francis Moultnoah, the offensive tackle out of Miami”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Kayden McDonald San Francisco 49ersFeb 20, 2026
“this is Kaden McDonald, the interior defensive alignement from Ohio State”
Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Kayden McDonald
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
36
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
27
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Anthony Hill Denver BroncosFeb 20, 2026
“Denver Anthony Hill linebacker Texas. Let's go.”
Scored 27.26 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Anthony Hill
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
27.26
baseline:
50
actual pick:
60
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
27.26
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Arvell Reese Arizona CardinalsFeb 20, 2026
“I'll take the risk for the Cardinals and take rvel risk. Rvel recent number three”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Cashius Howell Tampa Bay BuccaneersFeb 20, 2026
“I'm gonna give him cash Us how the edge rusher out of Texas A and M.”
Scored 32.42 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Cashius Howell
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
32.42
baseline:
50
actual pick:
41
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
32.42
predicted pick:
15
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Avieon Terrell Minnesota VikingsFeb 20, 2026
“So Avion Terrell, the cornerback out of Clemson going to the Vikings.”
Scored 27.26 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Avieon Terrell
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
27.26
baseline:
50
actual pick:
48
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
27.26
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Makai Lemon Pittsburgh SteelersFeb 20, 2026
“It's Makai Lemon for me, the wide receiver out of USC”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Keldric Faulk Kansas City ChiefsFeb 20, 2026
“I'm going to give him Keldrick Falk the edge out of Auburn.”
Scored 38.56 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.9 against a shuffle’s 50+36.9 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.9
player:
Keldric Faulk
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
38.56
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
38.56
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.9
Think this is wrong?