Scott Bogman · Feb 8, 2026

He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks.

“David Bailey led the league or led the country... and he is going to be in the top ten for sure, no doubt.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

12 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft PicksFeb 8, 2026
“So let's give them Carnell take the wide receiver out of Ohio State.”
Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 8, 2026
“He's a great pick wherever he goes, and he has to go in the top ten”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top ten (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 8, 2026
“Yeah, I got him taking Caleb Downs... So we just snuck him in here at pick number ten.”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 8, 2026
“this is an amazing player and he is going to be in the top ten for sure, no doubt”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
David Bailey
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with NYJ
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
top ten (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 8, 2026
“I'm going to get the Titans David Bailey the edge out of Texas Tech... So I think the Titans take him here at pick number four.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
David Bailey
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with NYJ
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 8, 2026
“Yeah, Ramelo Height the edge from Texas Tech... but I think Ramelo Hike can come in here.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Ramelo Height
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 8, 2026
“but I went with Kate McDonald, the interior defensive lineman from Ohio State... So Kate McDonald, It is”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Kate McDonald
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 8, 2026
“Vega Ione, the interior offensive from Penn State, it's what they need.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Vega Ione
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 8, 2026
“It's a Magno pregnant in the interior offensive lineman from Oregon, and like I said, I didn't consider anybody else.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Magno Pregnant
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
28
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 8, 2026
“but I went with Peter Woods, the interior defensive lineman from Clemson”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Peter Woods
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with KC
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
25
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 8, 2026
“I ended up taking the linebackers Sony Styles from Ohio State... I think Styles is probably the best fit for Washington on the board here.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Sony Styles
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 8, 2026
“Let's give them Denzel Boston, the wide receiver out of Washington here... So I like Denzel Boston, a size guy going to the Jets as a pass catcher.”
Scored 36.92 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Denzel Boston
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
36.92
baseline:
50
actual pick:
39
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
36.92
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this is wrong?