Scott Bogman· Feb 8, 2026
He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks.
“David Bailey led the league or led the country... and he is going to be in the top ten for sure, no doubt.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
12 checkable claims — 12 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 12 have settled, averaging 67.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pick22They said
14What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
12 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 22
“Vega Ione, the interior offensive from Penn State, it's what they need.”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 42.12
- player:
- Olaivavega Ioane
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 70.71
- predicted pick:
- 22
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 92.12
Kayden McDonald to be picked at number 19
“but I went with Kate McDonald, the interior defensive lineman from Ohio State... So Kate McDonald, It is”
Close · 48Scored 47.88 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 42.12
- player:
- Kayden McDonald
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 47.88
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 36
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 47.88
- predicted pick:
- 19
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 92.12
- Mock Draft PicksRomello HeightDenver BroncosFeb 8, 2026
Romello Height to be picked at number 31
“Yeah, Ramelo Height the edge from Texas Tech... but I think Ramelo Hike can come in here.”
Miss · 18Scored 18.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 42.12
- player:
- Romello Height
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 18.46
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 70
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 18.46
- predicted pick:
- 31
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 92.12
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 7
“I ended up taking the linebackers Sony Styles from Ohio State... I think Styles is probably the best fit for Washington on the board here.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 42.12
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 92.12
- Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyTennessee TitansFeb 8, 2026
David Bailey to be picked at number 4
“I'm going to get the Titans David Bailey the edge out of Texas Tech... So I think the Titans take him here at pick number four.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 42.12
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 92.12
- Mock Draft PicksPeter WoodsChicago BearsFeb 8, 2026
Peter Woods to be picked at number 25
“but I went with Peter Woods, the interior defensive lineman from Clemson”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 42.12
- player:
- Peter Woods
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 29
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 25
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 92.12
- Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyFeb 8, 2026
David Bailey to be picked “top ten” (picks 1–10)
“this is an amazing player and he is going to be in the top ten for sure, no doubt”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 42.12
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top ten (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 92.12
- Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateLos Angeles RamsFeb 8, 2026
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 13
“So let's give them Carnell take the wide receiver out of Ohio State.”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 75
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsFeb 8, 2026
Caleb Downs to be picked “top ten” (picks 1–10)
“He's a great pick wherever he goes, and he has to go in the top ten”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- top ten (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 75
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
“Yeah, I got him taking Caleb Downs... So we just snuck him in here at pick number ten.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 75
Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked at number 28
“It's a Magno pregnant in the interior offensive lineman from Oregon, and like I said, I didn't consider anybody else.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- Magno Pregnant
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 28
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 75
- Mock Draft PicksDenzel BostonNew York JetsFeb 8, 2026
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 16
“Let's give them Denzel Boston, the wide receiver out of Washington here... So I like Denzel Boston, a size guy going to the Jets as a pass catcher.”
Miss · 37Scored 36.92 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- Denzel Boston
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 36.92
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 39
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 36.92
- predicted pick:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 75
What others said about the same people
- Bucky BrooksRoster Spot Calls · Josh JohnsonMiss · 0Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season.
- Jared KochRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Koch argues Kayshon Boutte is a winner in the trade to Houston, likely to see many more snaps and potentially post a career season, while Xavier Hutchinson's path to a breakout gets harder. He also sees Kamari Ramsey stepping up as the primary backup safety behind a top three of Bullock, Pitre and Blankenship, and views Jared Wayne as a fringe roster player squeezed by receivers he calls virtual locks.
- Lance ZierleinRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Zierlein expects Texans QB C.J. Stroud to play roughly 10-12 plays in Thursday's preseason game, with Davis Mills going to halftime and newly signed Brett Rypien playing the entire second half. He also said if Tank Dell isn't ready, Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall would both likely make the roster, and predicted Keelan Rutledge will be the starting center with Wyatt Teller and Braden Smith starting.
- Lance ZierleinRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Zierlein expects Trevor Goosby, Texas' starting left tackle, to be a first-round NFL draft pick, and thinks Quinn Ewers may struggle to stay on the Dolphins' roster beyond this year. He also predicts the Texans' preseason quarterback usage: C.J. Stroud around 10-12 plays, Davis Mills through the first half, and Brett Rypien for the second half. If Tank Dell isn't ready, he thinks Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall could both make the roster.
- Seth WalderTrade and Signing Calls · Kayshon BoutteMiss · 0Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver.
- Garrett PodellTrade and Signing Calls · Stefon DiggsHit · 100A CBS Sports report frames Stefon Diggs as filling Washington's vacant No. 2 receiver role opposite Terry McLaurin after his reported one-year deal, expecting him in that spot in the 2026 passing game with Jayden Daniels.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · R Mason ThomasClose · 59In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.
- Steve MenschMock Draft Picks · Caleb LomuClose · 62Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17.