Scott Bogman· Apr 19, 2026
Bogman made 11 first-round mock selections, including David Bailey to the Jets at No. 2, Jeremiah Love to the Giants at 5, and a Jets trade up to 32 for Ty Simpson.
“I'm taking David Bailey here. They have to pass rush.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
12 checkable claims — 11 mock draft picks and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 21 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
11 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 71.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
12 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksAkheem MesidorDallas CowboysApr 19, 2026
Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 20
“I'm gonna give him a Key Messador, the ed thrusher”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.45 against a shuffle’s 50+35.45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.45
- player:
- Akheem Mesidor
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 22
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.45
- Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyNew York JetsApr 19, 2026
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
“But Texas Tech defensive end David Bailey... I'm taking David Bailey here.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.45 against a shuffle’s 50+35.45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.45
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.45
- Mock Draft PicksJeremiyah LoveNew York GiantsApr 19, 2026
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 5
“let's get Jeremiah Love... Jeremiah Love, to me, is the best player on the board here. And he falls to five because of the position”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
- Mock Draft PicksMonroe FreelingDetroit LionsApr 19, 2026
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17
“I like Monroe feeling here for the Lions”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Monroe Freeling
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 19
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
- Mock Draft PicksMansoor DelaneNew Orleans SaintsApr 19, 2026
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8
“So I give the Saints Manster Delane to give them a nice outside presence across from kool Aid”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Mansoor Delane
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
- Mock Draft PicksSpencer FanoPhiladelphia EaglesApr 19, 2026
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 23
“Spencer Fano's still here... take the tackle to replace the tackle a year before you need him... that's what I would take him to replace Lane Johnson in the long term.”
Close · 55Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Spencer Fano
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 54.53
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 54.53
- predicted pick:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
- Mock Draft PicksT.J. ParkerBuffalo BillsApr 19, 2026
T.J. Parker to be picked at number 26
“but I do think that TJ. Parker is a value at this spot... I think this would be a nice win fall at twenty six for the Bills.”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- T.J. Parker
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 35
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- 26
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb BanksKansas City ChiefsApr 19, 2026
Caleb Banks to be picked at number 29
“go to the defensive line and give the Caleb Banks, the big space clogging nose tackle out of Florida”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Caleb Banks
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 62.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 18
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 62.09
- predicted pick:
- 29
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
- Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonNew York JetsApr 19, 2026
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32
“How about Ty Simpson, the quarterback out of Alabama... to move one spot here I think would be an easy trade for the Jets to do.”
Close · 44Scored 43.91 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Ty Simpson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 43.91
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 43.91
- predicted pick:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
- Mock Draft PicksJordyn TysonMiami DolphinsApr 19, 2026
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 11
“I'm going to give them Jordan Tyson here. You're right, you just take a wide receiver.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Jordyn Tyson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
- Mock Draft PicksOlaivavega IoaneBaltimore RavensApr 19, 2026
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14
“Now I'm big, Iwanye Ione... Megge Yonkay? Look, they need a guard, they need offensive line help.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Iwanye Ione
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 85.71
- Team Draft Slot CallsNew York JetsApr 19, 2026
New York Jets to pick at number 32
“it looks like Scott Bogman has somehow swung this deal for the Jets to move up to thirty two... you're moving up one spot because they have the number thirty three pick”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Jeff KerrGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Kerr frames the Week 2 trip to Nashville as a game Philadelphia should win, moving the Eagles to 2-0 before a tougher stretch against the Bears and Rams.
- Cory NidohGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Nidoh expects Jalen Hurts to have another big game against Tennessee and for the Eagles to come away with their first-ever win in Nashville over the Titans.
- Joshua SchulmanGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Schulman endorses the view that the Chiefs will beat the Colts in their Sunday night matchup, calling ESPN's heavy lean toward Kansas City a fair assessment.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Amid his Week 2 spread picks, Wright made a few straight-up calls: Jacksonville wins outright at Denver, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he'd be stunned if Kansas City lost to Indianapolis. He also expected Zay Flowers and Ladd McConkie to sit out with injuries.
- Greg JenningsGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.
- Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks · Makai LemonHit · 96Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30.