Dylan O'Brien · Sep 3, 2025

Playing the win-loss game for the 2025 Jets, O'Brien went game by game through the schedule and landed on an 11-6 season, opening 0-2 before a long late-season winning streak.

“Eleven and six.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

18 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Game Outcome Picks New York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to win
“I have us beaten the Cowboys... It's now three and two.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
DAL
score:
37-22
skill:
0
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive pick:
NYJ
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Pittsburgh SteelersSep 3, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
“as much as I want to give us the w here because, I just know how it goes for the Jets in these situations... O and one's I'm gonna start there.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
34-32
skill:
200
they picked:
PIT
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive pick:
NYJ
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals New York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to finish with 11 wins
“Eleven and six since Dylan O'Brien.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 25-50 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYJ
naive:
6.75
skill:
-50
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
25
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to win
“Home for the Browns. Gotta beat the Browns. It's five and four”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NYJ
score:
20-27
skill:
0
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
NYJ
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Denver BroncosSep 3, 2025
Denver Broncos to win
“going into London to take on the Broncos... I gotta give us the l here. Okay. Three and three”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
DEN
score:
13-11
skill:
200
they picked:
DEN
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive pick:
NYJ
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Cincinnati BengalsSep 3, 2025
Cincinnati Bengals to win
“Four and three at the Bengals. This is a this is a this is a loss for us. Four and four”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NYJ
score:
39-38
skill:
0
they picked:
CIN
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive pick:
CIN
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to win
“Beat New Orleans. That's four wins in a row.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
won:
NO
score:
6-29
skill:
-200
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive pick:
NO
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to win
“Yeah. Yeah. We beat Jacksonville.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
won:
JAX
score:
20-48
skill:
-200
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive pick:
JAX
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to win
“We're gonna surprise beat the Falcons. Six and six.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NYJ
score:
24-27
skill:
0
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
NYJ
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Baltimore RavensSep 3, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to win
“I gotta give us two l's in a row here for New England and Baltimore. Okay. Five and five and five and six.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
BAL
score:
10-23
skill:
0
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
BAL
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to win
“so we're in Tampa... I have us penciled in for a surprise w.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
won:
TB
score:
27-29
skill:
-200
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to win
“home for the Panthers. We gotta beat the Panthers. Four and three”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
CAR
score:
13-6
skill:
0
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive pick:
NYJ
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to win
“Five wins in a row at the Bills... We go to Western New York, and we take it from the Bills. Six wins in a row.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to win
“Monday night in Miami... Let's just go, I think we gotta even it up... Two and two. Let's go two and two.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New England PatriotsSep 3, 2025
New England Patriots to win
“since we're in New England, I gotta give us two l's in a row here for New England and Baltimore”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to win
“Home for the Dolphins. Miami... I think at this point, Miami's a mess and we, we win. Seven and six”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to win
“Now you're home for the Patriots... I took that loss in New England, so let's give us the win”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Buffalo BillsSep 3, 2025
Buffalo Bills to win
“O and one would be a problem because the Bills strolling the next week. No. No. No. No. I I'm starting to own to okay.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?